SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

 

Washington, D.C.  20549

 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT

 

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): December 3, 2004

 

Carriage Services, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in is charter)

 

Delaware

1-11961

76-0423828

(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)

(Commission
File Number)

(IRS Employer
Identification No.)

 

1900 St. James Place, 4th Floor

Houston, Texas 77056

(Address, including zip code, of principal executive offices)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:

(713) 332-8400

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

o  Written communication pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

o  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

o  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

o  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 



 

Item 7.01.  Regulation FD Disclosure

 

On December 3, 2004, the Company issued a press release announcing its Company and Investment Profile dated December 2004.  A copy of the press release and the profile issued by the Company are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively.  The Company and Investment Profile is available on the Company’s website   www.carriageservices.com.

 

The press release and information in this report are being furnished in accordance with Regulation FD and not “filed” with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Accordingly, the information in this report is not incorporated by reference into any registration statement filed by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and will not be so incorporated by reference into any future registration statement unless specifically identified as being incorporated by reference.

 

The Company and Investment Profile contains non-GAAP financial measures.  Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a numerical measure of a company’s performance, financial position, or cash flows that either excludes or includes amounts that are not normally excluded or included in the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. Pursuant to the requirements of Regulation G, the Company provides quantitative reconciliations as well as qualitative information within the Company and Investment Profile and on the Company’s website www.carriageservices.com.

 

Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

(c)                                  Exhibits

 

Item

 

Description

 

 

 

 

 

99.1

 

Press Release dated December 3, 2004

 

99.2

 

Company and Investment Profile dated December 2004

 

 

2



 

SIGNATURE

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Carriage Services, Inc. has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

 

 

CARRIAGE SERVICES, INC.

 

 

 

 

Date: December 6, 2004

By:

/s/JosephSaporito

 

 

 

Joseph Saporito

 

 

 

Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

 

3



 

INDEX TO EXHIBITS

 

Exhibit

 

Description

 

 

 

99.1

 

Press Release dated December 3, 2004

99.2

 

Company and Investment Profile dated December 2004

 

4


Exhibit 99.1

 

PRESS RELEASE

 

Contacts:

Mel Payne, Chairman & CEO

 

 

Joe Saporito, CFO

 

 

Carriage Services, Inc.

FOR IMMEDIDATE RELEASE

 

713-332-8400

 

 

 

 

 

Ken Dennard / Lisa Elliott

 

 

DRG&E / 713-529-6600

 

CARRIAGE SERVICES UPDATES

COMPANY & INVESTMENT PROFILE

 

DECEMBER 3, 2004 – HOUSTON – Carriage Services, Inc. (NYSE: CSV) today announced that it has updated its “Company & Investment Profile”, which can be found on Carriage’s website at http://www.carriageservices.com.

 

Carriage’s updated Company & Investment Profile includes updated discussions of Carriage’s business, strategies, and goals, historical financial information, a discussion on continued debt reduction, its current “Long Term Base Case Scenario,” and “Base Case Enterprise Valuation LBO Structure” analysis, industry information, and more.  The updated Company & Investment Profile is being furnished on Form 8-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

The Company & Investment Profile is being published and updated by Carriage in continuation of its stated goal to provide more disclosure and transparency to the investment community regarding Carriage’s operations, goals, industry dynamics and conditions. It is Carriage’s intent to continue to be proactive in communicating with investors. Investors and interested parties are encouraged to visit the website, http://www.carriageservices.com to read or download the Company and Investment Profile.

 

Carriage Services is the fourth largest publicly traded deathcare company. As of December 3, 2004, Carriage operates 136 funeral homes and 30 cemeteries in 28 states.

 

Certain statements made herein or elsewhere by, or on behalf of, the company that are not historical facts are intended to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements are based on assumptions that the company believes are reasonable; however, many important factors, as discussed under “Forward- Looking Statements and Cautionary Statements” in the company’s Annual Report and Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003, could cause the company’s results in the future to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made herein and in any other documents or oral presentations made by, or on behalf of, the company. A copy of the company’s Form 10-K, and other Carriage Services information and news releases, are available at http://www.carriageservices.com.

 

# # #

 


Exhibit 99.2

 

Company & Investment Profile

December 2004

 

 

 

 

 

1900 St. James Place 4th Floor Houston, TX 77056

Phone: 713-332-8400 Fax: 713-332-8401 www.carriageservices.com

 

Carriage Services, Inc.

(NYSE: CSV)

 

Simply Put … Becoming the Best

 

KEY POINTS

 

                  Carriage continues to focus on improving its operations and its capital structure to position the Company for future growth.

 

                  In line with that focus and after an extensive review of the Company’s funeral operations, Carriage has announced a number of operational changes in its funeral business that are intended to help the Company grow its market share and improve operating and financial performance in the future.

 

                  Carriage Services reported 3Q04 financial results that were within the Company’s estimates previously released to the public. In addition, Carriage reduced its senior debt to $116 million at September 30, 2004, achieving its previous year end goal of reducing senior debt to $116 million one quarter ahead of schedule. Further, Carriage continued to successfully execute on its “Being the Best” funeral operating model which began to have a positive impact on results in 3Q04. See page 12 for a more detailed discussion of Carriage’s 3Q04 results and outlook.

 

                  Carriage’s ability to generate free cash flow and reduce debt offers the unique investment characteristics of an LBO structure. Under multiple scenarios, presented herein, CSV could offer a 10% to 25% four-year IRR based upon current valuation using assumptions believed to be reasonable by management.

 

SHARE STATISTICS

 

Price (December 1, 2004)

 

$5.04

 

52 Wk. High/Low

 

$5.50/$3.05

 

Average Daily Trading Volume (3 Mos.)

 

20,967

 

Shares Outstanding (In Mill.)

 

17.9

 

Equity Market Capitalization (In Mill.)

 

$90.2

 

Enterprise Value

 

$306.0

 

Enterprise Value / EBITDA(1)

 

8.1

 

Price / 2004(E) EPS Multiple(2)

 

12.3

 

Book Value Per Share

 

$6.18

 

Senior Debt(3) / EBITDA(1)

 

3.1

 

Senior Debt(3) / Capitalization

 

36.3

%

 

LONG-TERM BASE CASE ESTIMATES

 

5-Yr. Compound Annual Revenue Growth

 

2.5

%

5-Yr. Compound Annual EBITDA Growth

 

3.5

%

5-Yr. Compound Annual EPS Growth

 

12.3

%

5-Yr. Compound Annual Free Cash Flow Growth

 

28.8

%

5-Yr. Compound Annual Pre-Tax Free Cash Flow Growth

 

36.5

%

5-Yr. Compound Annual Reduction in Senior Debt

 

-21.0

%

 

Balance sheet data as of September 30, 2004; shares outstanding as of November 5, 2004

 


(1) Trailing four quarters

(2) Based on EPS from continuing operations

(3) Debt does not include the convtertible junior subordinated debentures for this calculation

 

                  The Long-Term Base Case scenario presented herein is based only on organic growth assumptions and does not consider any incremental growth via selective acquisitions, market share gains, etc.

 

Carriage Services is a leading provider of death care services and products in the United States. As of October 31, 2004, Carriage operated 136 funeral homes and 30 cemeteries in 28 states. Carriage provides a complete range of funeral and cremation services and sells a wide variety of related products and merchandise.

 

Carriage Services

©2004 Carriage Services, Inc. All rights reserved.

NYSE: CSV

Forward-looking statements contained herein are subject to certain risks and uncertainties as further described at the end of this Company & Investment Profile. Please refer to the Appendix on page 35 that discusses and reconciles non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures.

 

1



 

Carriage Services, Inc. – Summary Financial Data

 

Summary Income Statement

(In Thousands, Except Per Share Data)

 

 

 

2002

 

2003

 

(Unaudited)
9 Mos. Ending
9/30/2004

 

Revenues

 

$

154,176

 

$

150,823

 

$

115,616

 

Cost of Services

 

111,088

 

112,498

 

86,598

 

Gross Profit

 

43,088

 

38,325

 

29,018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Selling, General & Admin. Expense

 

10,815

 

10,492

 

7,976

 

Special & Other Charges

 

361

 

(577

)

1,543

 

Operating Income

 

31,912

 

28,410

 

19,499

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Expense

 

(19,750

)

(17,811

)

(12,963

)

Income Before Income Taxes

 

12,162

 

10,599

 

6,536

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes

 

(8,116

)

3,974

 

2,785

 

Net Income

 

20,278

 

6,625

 

3,751

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Special Charges & Other Items, Net of Tax

 

(12,574

)

(355

)

(1,298

)

Net Income Before Special Charges & Other Items

 

$

7,704

 

$

6,270

 

$

5,049

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic EPS

 

$

1.20

 

$

0.36

 

$

0.21

 

Diluted EPS

 

$

1.16

 

$

0.35

 

$

0.21

 

Diluted EPS Excluding Special Charges & Other Items

 

$

0.44

 

$

0.35

 

$

0.28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted Avg. Basic Shares Outstanding

 

16,973

 

17,444

 

17,751

 

Weighted Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding

 

17,433

 

17,808

 

18,226

 

 

Margin Analysis

(As a Percentage of Revenues)

 

 

 

2002

 

2003

 

9 Mos. Ending
9/30/2004

 

Gross Margin

 

27.9

%

25.4

%

25.1

%

SG&A

 

7.0

%

7.0

%

6.9

%

Operating Income

 

20.7

%

18.8

%

16.9

%

Income Before Income Taxes

 

7.9

%

7.0

%

5.7

%

Net Income

 

13.2

%

4.4

%

3.2

%

Net Income Before Special Charges & Other Items

 

5.0

%

4.2

%

4.4

%

 

Selected Historical Balance Sheet Data & Ratios

(In Thousands Except Ratios)

 

 

 

2002

 

2003

 

(Unaudited)
9 Mos. Ending
9/30/2004

 

Cash & Cash Equivalents

 

$

2,702

 

$

2,024

 

$

2,296

 

Total Current Assets

 

26,865

 

27,890

 

26,478

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property, Plant & Equipment, Net

 

114,002

 

110,964

 

105,159

 

Cemetery Property

 

64,570

 

64,124

 

63,374

 

Goodwill

 

158,696

 

159,672

 

157,139

 

Total Assets

 

549,948

 

538,917

 

560,369

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Current Liabilities

 

28,445

 

47,311

 

24,273

 

L.T. Debt & Capital Lease Obligations, Net of Current Portion

 

146,746

 

111,079

 

112,727

 

Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures Due 2029

 

 

 

93,750

 

Total Liabilities

 

361,264

 

342,660

 

417,940

 

Mandatorily Redeemable Convt. Pref. Securities

 

90,193

 

90,327

 

 

Stockholders’ Equity

 

98,091

 

105,930

 

110,618

 

Total Liabilities & Stockholders’ Equity

 

$

549,948

 

$

538,917

 

$

560,369

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Ratio

 

0.9

 

0.6

 

1.1

 

Debt & Capital Lease Obligation, Net / Stockholders’ Equity

 

149.6

%

104.9

%

101.9

%

Debt / Capitalization

 

44.2

%

40.8

%

36.3

%

 

Selected Historical Statement of Cash Flows Data

(In Thousands)

 

 

 

2002

 

2003

 

(Unaudited)
9 Mos. Ending
9/30/2004

 

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

 

$

18,945

 

$

14,680

 

$

17,173

 

Capital Expenditures

 

6,034

 

6,204

 

3,448

 

Free cash Flow

 

12,911

 

8,476

 

13,725

 

Net Cash Provided By (Used In) Investing Activities

 

(6,007

)

(1,786

)

250

 

Net Cash Used by Financing Activities

 

12,980

 

13,572

 

17,151

 

Net (Decrease) Increase in Cash & Equivalents

 

(42

)

(678

)

272

 

Cash & Equivalents at End of Period

 

$

2,702

 

$

2,024

 

$

2,296

 

 

Historical Stock Data

 

 

 

2002

 

2003

 

YTD*

 

High

 

$

5.54

 

$

4.58

 

$

5.50

 

Low

 

$

3.01

 

$

2.99

 

$

3.72

 

Avg. Daily Volume

 

44,910

 

48,319

 

39,301

 

 

 


* Through December 1, 2004.

 

Projected Revenue ($ In Millions)

 

 

Projected EBITDA* & EBITDA Margin % - ($ In Millions)

 

 


*Excluding special items

 

2



 

This document is being published by Carriage Services in continuation of the Company’s stated goal to provide more disclosure and transparency to the investment community regarding Carriage’s operations, strategies, industry dynamics and conditions, etc. It is Carriage’s intent to take greater responsibility for and a more proactive role in communicating with the investment community and in providing greater operating and financial transparency.

 

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & SELECTED HIGHLIGHTS

 

MISSION STATEMENT: We are committed to being the most professional, ethical, and highest quality funeral and cemetery service organization in our industry.

 

GUIDING PRINCIPLES: Honesty, integrity and quality in all that we do. Hard work, pride of accomplishment and shared success through employee ownership. Belief in the power of people through individual initiative and teamwork. Outstanding service and profitability go hand-in-hand. Growth of the Company is driven by decentralization and partnership.

 

SUMMARY

 

Carriage Services is a leading provider of Death Care services and products in the United States and is the fourth largest publicly traded Death Care company. Carriage Services’ shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol CSV. As of October 31, 2004, Carriage operated 136 funeral homes and 30 cemeteries in 28 states. Carriage’s business can be characterized as one of relative stability, reflected by predictable revenue and cash flow, with incremental growth opportunities via selective acquisitions.

 

Carriage continues to focus on improving its operations and its capital structure in order to reposition the Company for future growth. Carriage’s focus is to grow the market share and improve the operating and financial performance of its funeral operations; further reduce debt; and strengthen its capital structure. In line with that focus and after an extensive review of the Company’s funeral operations, Carriage announced a number of significant operational changes that are intended to help the Company grow its market share and improve operating and financial performance in 2004 and beyond. The Company will continue to improve its organizational leadership and quality of personnel. Carriage may divest additional businesses in the future, where those businesses are not meeting its standards.

 

Carriage Services reported 3Q04 financial results that were within the Company’s estimates previously released to the public. In addition, Carriage reduced its senior debt to $116 million at September 30, 2004, achieving its previous year end goal of reducing senior debt to $116 million one quarter ahead of schedule. Further, Carriage continued to successfully execute on its “Being the Best” funeral operating model which began to have a positive impact on results in 3Q04. Carriage is focused more on the long-term than the short-term and is seeing progress in attracting high quality personnel, more effectively marketing its services and managing costs within the framework of its new operating standards. In 3Q04, Carriage generated $1.6 million of free cash flow, consisting of cash flow provided by operating activities of $2.9 million, less capital expenditures of $1.3 million. This free cash flow in addition to other sources of cash enabled the Company to reduce its debt by $5.0 million in 3Q04 from $121.3 million at the end of 2Q04 to $116.3 million at September 30, 2004.

 

While Carriage Services has succeeded in improving operations and the quality and depth of its management, increasing free cash flow and substantially decreasing debt levels, the Company believes the current equity valuation does not accurately reflect these achievements and offers a unique investment opportunity. As discussed later in this report, Carriage believes its current capital structure coupled with its strong cash flow profile, will enable the Company to continue to meaningfully pay down debt, offering investors the unique investment characteristics of an LBO (leveraged buy out) structure. Assuming stable to modest growth in revenue and EBITDA, modest growth in free cash flow, selective asset dispositions, and continued reduction in debt, Carriage believes such a scenario could offer investors an 10% to 25% four year IRR (internal rate of return), assuming a narrow range of enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiples over the same period.

 

3



 

Table of Contents

 

(Noteworthy new or updated information in this edition versus the previous edition in bold)

 

SECTION

 

 

 

Key Points & Overview

 

 

 

Summary Financial Data

 

 

 

Executive Summary & Selected Highlights

 

 

 

Operations Overview & Strategy

 

 

 

Compelling Valuation vs. Peers – Closing the Valuation Gap

 

 

 

Carriage Services Recent Results & Financial Outlook

 

 

 

Historical Earnings & Operating Data

 

 

 

Company Background

 

 

 

Successful Fresh Start Program Largely Complete

 

 

 

CSV: A Unique Investment Opportunity

 

 

 

Long-Term Base Case Scenario

 

 

 

Base Case Enterprise Valuation “LBO” Structure

 

 

 

Death Care Industry Overview

 

 

 

Peer Analysis & Comparison

 

 

 

Management Bios

 

 

 

Board of Directors & Corporate Governance

 

 

 

Income Statement

 

 

 

Balance Sheet

 

 

 

Cash Flow Statement

 

 

 

Selected Financial Data

 

 

 

Forward Looking & Cautionary Statements

 

 

 

Appendix: Disclosure of Non-GAAP Performance Measures

 

 

 

 

4



 

OPERATIONS OVERVIEW & STRATEGY

 

Carriage Services is a leading provider of professional funeral and cemetery services and products in the United States and is the fourth largest publicly traded death care company. As of October 31, 2004, Carriage operated 136 funeral homes and 30 cemeteries in 28 states. Carriage serves families from diverse cultural and religious backgrounds and provides a complete range of funeral and cremation services including planning and coordinating personalized funerals, conducting memorial services, performing cemetery interment services, and managing and maintaining cemetery properties. The Company also sells products and merchandise including caskets, urns, burial vaults, cemetery interment rights, and monuments and markers. Carriage’s business can be characterized as one of relative stability, recurring revenue and cash flow, with incremental growth opportunities via selective acquisitions.

 

Carriage’s local funeral home operations, cemetery operations, and preneed programs are managed by individuals with extensive death care experience. The local operators continue to have responsibility for day-to-day operations, but are required to follow service and financial standards. This strategy allows each local business to maintain its unique style of operation and to capitalize on its reputation and heritage while Carriage maintains supervisory controls and provides specialized services from its corporate headquarters.

 

Carriage Owns & Operates 136 Funeral Homes & 30 Cemeteries in 28 States

 

 

Carriage is committed to a strong information systems infrastructure and all of its funeral homes are connected to its corporate headquarters which allows management to monitor and assess critical operating and financial data in order to analyze the performance of individual locations on a timely basis. Management is able to access customer transaction data and other operating information to monitor operating performance and to implement any necessary corrective actions.

 

5



 

Funeral Home Operations

 

As of October 31, 2004, Carriage operated 136 funeral homes in 28 states. Funeral home revenues accounted for approximately 77% of total revenues for both the years 2003 and 2002, and for approximately 75% of revenue for the nine months ending September 30, 2004. Carriage’s funeral home operations are managed by a team of experienced death care industry professionals. These individuals have proven leadership and financial skills with best operating and high financial standards that are relevant to the death care industry.

 

Carriage’s funeral homes offer a complete suite of services to meet families’ funeral needs, including consultation, removal and preparation of remains, sale of caskets and related funeral merchandise, use of funeral homes for visitation and religious services, and transportation services. Most of Carriage’s funeral homes have a non-denominational chapel on premises, which accommodates family visitation and religious services to take place on site if a family chooses, reducing inconvenience to the family.

 

Funeral Home Service Offerings

 

 

Despite the decline in national death rates over the past three years and losses of market share in certain markets, Carriage’s funeral home operations remain some of the most profitable in the industry. Carriage has been able to maintain superior funeral home profitability due to its lean operating structure and focus on best practices. Carriage is focused on regaining market share in markets where it is an issue through its focus on building relationships in the local community, installing the right leadership, and hiring and training the best people.

 

Funeral Home Gross Margin Peer Comparison

 

 

From continuing operations for all companies

 


*9-months ending 7/31

 

Profitable Funeral Homes ($ In Millions)

 

 


*From continuing operations

 

Carriage recognized that to become the best and increase value for shareholders, it must improve the operating results of its funeral operations by growing market share and increasing internal profitability and earnings growth. After an

 

6



 

extensive review of its funeral operations in 2003, Carriage announced and began to implement a number of operational changes that are intended to help the Company grow its market share and improve operating and financial performance in the future.

 

Carriage’s new funeral operating model, called “Being the Best”, is based upon lessons the Company has learned from its best businesses and its best operators. Carriage analyzed its best businesses (approximately 20% by number) and developed operating and financial standards, taking into consideration size and cremation mix, organized around three primary areas – market share, people and operating and financial metrics. Carriage introduced a more decentralized, entrepreneurial and local operating model and has overhauled its incentive compensation structure to align with its new standards. These new standards and incentives will challenge and reward its managing partners who thrive on growing their local business and taking responsibility for results.

 

Key elements of Carriage’s new “Being the Best” funeral operating strategy and model include the following:

 

                  Balanced Operating Model –Carriage believes a decentralized structure works best in the death care industry. The new operating model focuses on key drivers of a successful funeral business, organized around three primary areas – market share, people and operating and financial metrics. Successful execution of the new operating model is highly dependent on strong local leadership, intelligent risk taking, entrepreneurial empowerment and corporate support aligned with the key drivers.

 

                  Incentives Aligned with Standards – Empowering managing partners to do the right things in their operations and local communities, and providing appropriate support with operating and financial practices, will enable growth and profitability. Each managing partner will participate in a variable bonus plan whereby they will earn a fixed percentage of their business’ earnings based upon the actual standards achieved. Carriage believes each managing partner has the opportunity to be compensated at close to the same level as if they owned the business themselves.

 

                  The Right Local Leadership - - Successful execution of the new operating model is highly dependent on strong local leadership, intelligent risk taking and entrepreneurial empowerment. Over time, Carriage believes how a managing partner executes versus the operating and financial standards set forth will be a primary performance indicator.

 

                  Cycle of Service – Carriage is reviewing the various steps in its Cycle of Service in order to update and improve it. The Cycle of Service process and activities will align with the Company’s strategy to build a meaningful and lasting relationship with each client family. The Company has also developed a “Best Practices” website where innovative new service ideas will be shared throughout the organization.

 

                  Presentation and Packaging of Services and Merchandise – Carriage believes packaging funeral services and merchandise offers both simplicity and convenience for its client families. Well conceived and thoughtful packages eliminate much of the effort and discomfort experienced by client families about matters where they do not have much knowledge during a very stressful and emotional time. While clients will always have the option of purchasing services and merchandise separately, Carriage believes the emphasis on personalized services and appropriate merchandise will be valued by many families.

 

                  Merchandise Strategy & Supplier Arrangements – Carriage is conducting a review of its merchandise strategy for its selection floors. Merchandise selections will be aligned with package options. In addition, the selection floor will be evaluated to determine if it is effective. Key elements of an effective floor are balanced retail prices with appropriate mark-ups, intelligent layout and choices supported by good presentation. Carriage has entered into updated arrangements with four primary casket suppliers to support its new strategy and control wholesale costs.

 

                  Overhead Costs – Carriage is performing targeted reviews of its systems and support services with the objective of improving effectiveness and decreasing overhead costs. The Company recently completed an upgrade of its funeral services system to improve its features and functions and plans to implement a new cemetery system in the future. As Carriage implements new systems, it is reviewing and changing corporate processes to improve efficiency and effectiveness.

 

7



 

Cemetery Operations

 

As of September 30, 2004, Carriage operated 30 cemeteries in 12 states. All Carriage cemeteries are perpetual care cemeteries. Cemetery revenue accounted for approximately 23% of total revenues for both the years 2003 and 2002, and for approximately 25% of revenues for the nine months ending September 30, 2004. Carriage sales counselors consult with clients either at the cemetery or in the client’s home. Arrangements can be selected in advance of need and payment options are available. Carriage’s cemetery products and services include: mausoleum crypts, private estates, lawn crypt gardens, grave sites and burial vaults. Cremation options include columbarium, mausoleum niches and ground burial.

 

Cemetery operations generate revenues through sales of interment rights, memorials and installations, fees for interment and cremation services, finance charges from sales contracts, and investment income from preneed cemetery merchandise and perpetual care trusts. Carriage’s cemetery revenues are primarily driven by pre-need product sales. Since Carriage focused its cemetery business on its Family Service Model, cemetery gross margins have steadily improved.

 

9 Mos. 2004 Cemetery Revenue Mix

 

 

Cemetery Revenue & Gross Profit

 

 

In addition to owned locations, Carriage has been selected to be the managing partner of municipal and not for profit cemeteries. Carriage’s success in these operations comes from utilizing the same operating model used for its owned operations.

 

8



 

Preneed Programs

 

In addition to the sales of funeral merchandise and services, cemetery interment rights and cemetery merchandise, and services at the time of need, Carriage also markets funeral and cemetery services and products on a preneed basis. Preneed funeral and cemetery contracts enable families to establish, in advance, the type of service to be performed, the products to be used and the costs for such products and services, in accordance with prices prevailing at the time the contract is signed, rather than when the products and services are delivered. Preneed contracts permit families to eliminate the emotional strain of making death care plans at the time of need and enable Carriage to establish a portion of its future market share. Proceeds of preneed funeral contracts are not recognized as revenue until the time the funeral service is performed.

 

9 Mos. 2004 Funeral Revenue: Pre-Need vs. At Need

 

 

9 Mos. 2004 Cemetery Revenue: Pre-Need vs. At Need

 

 

Preneed funeral contracts are usually paid on an installment basis. The performance of preneed funeral contracts is usually secured by placing the funds collected in trust for the benefit of the customer or by the purchase of a life insurance policy, the proceeds of which will pay for such services at the time of need. Insurance policies, intended to fund preneed funeral contracts, cover the original contract price and generally include an element of growth (earnings) designed to offset future inflationary cost increases. Proceeds from the sale of preneed funeral contracts, along with accumulated earnings, are not recognized as revenue until the time the funeral service is performed. Additionally, Carriage generally earns a commission from the insurance company from the sale of insurance funded contracts.  Although direct marketing costs and commissions incurred from the sale of preneed funeral contracts are a current use of cash, such costs are also deferred and amortized on an actuarial method to match the expected maturity of the preneed contracts. The commission income is recognized as revenue when the period of refund expires (generally one year) and helps Carriage defray the costs incurred, which are primarily commissions paid to its sales counselors.

 

Preneed sales frequently require an immediate cash outlay by the seller to fund commissions and promotional expenditures. Beginning in 2000, Carriage moved from a national, centralized marketing strategy to a local, decentralized strategy whereby each business location customized a preneed program to its local needs. The Company also began selling insurance-funded contracts in most markets that allow Carriage to earn commission income and improve its cash flow. The focus is such that in markets that depend on preneed for market share, the Company will supplement the arrangements written by funeral directors with sales sourced by sales counselors and third party sellers. Carriage plans to continue using insurance-funded contracts as the main funding vehicle because cash from the commissions earned offsets a significant amount of the up-front costs and because the earnings on the insurance contracts are more stable than traditional trust fund investments.

 

9



 

Pre-Need Sales Allocations: 1999

 

 

Pre-Need Sales Allocations: 9 Mos. 2004

 

 

In addition to preneed funeral contracts, Carriage also offers “preplanned” funeral arrangements whereby the client determines in advance substantially all of the details of a funeral service without any financial commitment or other obligation on the part of the client until the actual time of need. Preplanned funeral arrangements permit a family to avoid the emotional strain of making death care plans at the time of need and enable a funeral home to establish relationships with a client that may eventually lead to an at-need sale.

 

Preneed cemetery sales are usually financed through interest bearing installment sales contracts, generally with terms of up to five years. Interest rates generally range from 12%-14%. Preneed sales of cemetery interment rights are recorded as revenue when 10% of the contract price related to the real estate has been collected. Merchandise and services revenue is recorded when delivery has occurred. Costs related to cemetery preneed contracts and delivery of products and services is recorded concurrent with related revenue. Carriage always receives an initial payment at the time the contract is signed. Allowances for customer cancellations and refunds are accrued at the date of sale and periodically evaluated thereafter based upon historical experience.

 

10



 

Compelling Valuation vs. Peers – Closing the Valuation Gap

 

Carriage believes its “Being the Best” funeral operating strategies and model will enable the Company to increase market share and improve financial results. With the anticipated success of these initiatives and continuing improvement of its credit profile, Carriage believes the current equity valuation gap between it and its peers could close, and at current prices, CSV shares offer an attractive valuation.

 

While the company has made significant progress on improving its operations and reducing its level of debt, Carriage continues to focus on its operations and its capital structure in order to position the Company for future growth. The Company’s focus is to grow its market share and improve operating and financial performance of its funeral operations; increase preneed property sales and cash flow in its cemetery operations; further reduce debt; and strengthen its capital structure. Carriage may divest additional businesses in the future, where those businesses are not meeting its standards. Further, Carriage will continue to improve its organizational leadership and quality of personnel.

 

The following is a valuation comparison of Carriage Services versus its three public death care industry peers. CSV shares trade at price/earnings (PE) multiple significantly below its public peer group.

 

Peer Valuation Comparison

Death Care Industry

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EPS*

 

PE Multiple

 

 

 

Symbol

 

FYE

 

Price

 

2004E

 

2005E

 

2004

 

2005

 

Alderwoods Group

 

AWGI

 

Dec.

 

$

10.57

 

$

(0.24

)

$

0.77

 

NM

 

13.7

X

Service Corp. Intl.

 

SCI

 

Dec.

 

$

7.26

 

$

0.33

 

$

0.35

 

22.0

X

20.7

X

Stewart Enterprises

 

STEI

 

Oct.

 

$

7.49

 

$

0.42

 

$

0.47

 

17.8

X

15.9

X

Peer Average

 

 

 

 

 

$

8.44

 

$

0.17

 

$

0.53

 

19.9

X

16.8

X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Carriage Services

 

CSV

 

Dec.

 

$

5.04

 

$

0.41

 

$

0.46

 

12.3

11.0

X

 


*First Call mean estimates except CSV estimates from Long-Term Base Case Scenario;all EPS estimates from continuing operations.

 

11



 

CARRIAGE SERVICES RECENT RESULTS & FINANCIAL OUTLOOK

 

Carriage Services reported 3Q04 financial results that were within the Company’s estimates previously released to the public. In addition, Carriage reduced its senior debt to $116 million at September 30, 2004, achieving its previous goal one quarter ahead of its year-end goal of reducing senior debt to $116 million. Further, Carriage continued to successfully execute on its “Being the Best” funeral operating model which had a positive impact on results in 3Q04. Carriage is focused more on the long-term than the short-term and is seeing progress in attracting high quality personnel, more effectively marketing its services and managing costs within the framework of its new operating standards.

 

Carriage reported diluted EPS of $0.06 in 3Q04, which consisted of earnings from continuing operations of $0.03 and gains of approximately $1.0 million, equal to $0.03 per diluted share, primarily from the sales of two funeral home businesses. Earnings from continuing operations of $0.03 per diluted share were impacted by two significant events during the quarter that together reduced EPS from continuing operations for 3Q04 by $0.03. The two events were (1) Carriage decided to change vendors for a new cemetery accounting system, which resulted in writing off capitalized costs totaling $0.5 million and (2) property damage resulting from the recent hurricanes in Florida, which resulted in $0.3 million for uninsured losses.

 

In 3Q04, Carriage generated $1.6 million of free cash flow, consisting of cash flow provided by operating activities of $2.9 million, less capital expenditures of $1.3 million. This free cash flow in addition to other sources of cash enabled the Company to reduce its debt by $5.0 million in 3Q04 from $121.3 million at the end of 2Q04 to $116.3 million at September 30, 2004.

 

Results for 3Q04 were as follows:

 

                  Total revenue of $36.0 million versus previous estimate of $35 to $37 million.

                  EBITDA of $7.9 million versus previous estimate of $7 to $9 million.

                  Diluted EPS of $0.06 compared to EPS of $0.05 in 3Q03.

                  EPS from continuing operations of $0.03 per share compared to previous estimates of $0.03 to $0.06 and compared to $0.04 for 3Q03.

 

Carriage’s 2004 Financial Outlook assumes a 1% increase in same store volumes for the remainder of 2004 versus 2003 and a 1.5% increase in the average revenue per funeral. Approximately half of the increase in diluted EPS in 2004 versus 2003 is attributable to anticipated lower interest expense and approximately half to improved performance anticipated from Carriage’s funeral operations. Carriage’s outlook information excludes the potential impact of any gains, losses or impairment charges from the sales of businesses.

 

Carriage Services Financial Outlook

$ Estimates in Millions Except Per Share Data

 

 

 

4Q04

 

Full Year
2004

 

Revenue

 

$

36 - $39

 

$

150 - $154

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EBITDA

 

$

9 - $11

 

$

39 - $41

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dil. EPS from Cont. Operations

 

$

0.09 - $0.12

 

$

0.38 - $0.41

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Free Cash Flow

 

Not estimated

 

$

16 - $18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt

 

Not estimated

 

$

110 - $112

 

 

Note – For Carriage’s updated full year 2004 financial outlook, the Company raised its estimates for free cash flow from its previous estimate of $14 million to $17 million and increased its senior debt reduction estimates for the year end senior debt balance from its previous range of $114 million to $118 million.

 

12



 

Funeral Operations – Key Financial & Operating Data Comparison vs. 3Q03

 

                  Funeral revenues increased 1.2% from $26.3 million to $26.6 million

                  Same store funeral revenue increased 1.1% from $26.1 million to $26.4 million

                  Same store funeral contracts decreased 2.5% from 5,519 to 5,382

                  Same store average revenue per contract increased 3.7% from $4,734 to $4,908

                  Funeral gross profit improved 2.1% from $6.0 million to $6.1 million

                  Average revenue per burial contract increased 4.8% to $6,549

                  Average revenue per cremation contract increased 3.5% to $2,398

                  Carriage’s cremation rate was 31.0% in 3Q04, up versus 30.1% in 3Q03

 

Carriage made progress during 3Q04 executing its new “Being the Best” funeral model as evidenced by the strong 3.7% increase in the Company’s same store average revenue per contract. Carriage’s 3Q04 funeral results were solid, especially given that the third quarter of the year is typically the seasonally slowest quarter in the year and often times a little unpredictable. Further, while not necessarily indicative of Carriage’s markets, the death rate as reported by the Center for Disease Control decreased 2.3% in 3Q04 versus 3Q03. Gross profit for 3Q04 increased 2.8% versus the same period last year because operating costs increases were nominal and the Company achieved positive operating leverage. As previously disclosed, in July 2004, Carriage closed on the sales of two funeral home businesses, which generated net cash proceeds totaling $2.5 million and a gain of approximately $1.0 million.

 

Carriage is focused on making the right decisions and managing the business for the long-term rather than for short-term results that may not benefit the company in the long-term. Carriage continues to work hard on better execution of its new funeral home operating model and expects to see year-over-year improvement in its operating and financial performance as the Company moves forward through 2004 and into 2005.

 

On a year to date basis, funeral revenues increased 1.9% and same-store revenue increased 2.4%, comprised of a volume decline of 0.1% and an increase in the average revenue per contract of 2.5%. Funeral gross margin has increased slightly to 25.8% on the strength of higher revenues.

 

Based upon an extensive review of its funeral operations in the last half of 2003 by a group of Carriage’s best operators under the leadership of Mel Payne, a number of operational changes were identified to grow Carriage’s market share and improve its operating and financial performance. During 2004, Carriage has been focused on executing the new practices, called “Being the Best” which include:

 

                  A more balanced operating model that allows our funeral home managing partners to make local decisions guided by operating and financial standards based upon best practices of our best businesses.

 

                  Incentives for our funeral home managing and regional partners aligned with our standards that give our partners the opportunity to be compensated at close to the same level as if they owned the business.

 

                  A renewed focus on having the right local leadership in place to execute the new operating model.

 

                  Changes to our Cycle of Service model to ensure that we build a meaningful and lasting relationship with each client family.

 

                  Improvements in the presentation and packaging of our services and merchandise. We are also reworking our supplier arrangements to improve our merchandise selection and margins.

 

                  Targeted reviews of our systems and support services to improve effectiveness and decrease overhead costs.

 

Carriage expects that these changes will result in improvements in the Company’s operating and financial performance during 2004 that will be incremental to any improvements attributable to increasing death rates. “Being the Best” is

 

13



 

intended to lead Carriage’s funeral operations in a more entrepreneurial, local environment fashion to grow the business, rather than to just manage the existing business.

 

Cemetery Operations – Key Financial & Operating Data Comparison vs. 3Q03

 

                  Cemetery revenues increased 6.4%, from $8.8 million to $9.4 million

                  The number of preneed contracts written increased 4.7% to 2,080

                  Average revenue per preneed contract written increased 3.5% to $2,631 and the average preneed property rights increased 18.5% to $1,828

                  The number of interments performed decreased 5.1% to 2,228 and the average revenue per internment increased 13.7% to $1,200

                  Cemetery gross profit increased 0.6% To $2.0 million

 

Carriage’s cemetery operations generated solid results in 3Q04, with revenue increases for both preneed and at-need contracts. Carriage continues to focus its cemetery business efforts on the preneed sale of property rights, which creates heritage for its business. Cemetery performance was particularly good when one considers that revenue in the prior year quarter benefited by $0.5 million of previously sold but unrecognized entombment rights upon completion of mausoleum construction. No such events occurred in 3Q04.

 

Financial revenues (trust earnings and finance charges on the installment contracts) decreased $0.1 million compared to 3Q03, in part due to lower earnings on the perpetual care trust funds. Cemetery gross margin percentage declined by 130 basis points to 21.6% because the Company’s product revenue mix changed to a higher proportion of merchandise and services, increased sales resulted in a higher provision for bad debts and sales discounts and higher property taxes.

 

On a year to date basis, cemetery revenue increased 10.5% and cemetery gross margin decreased 290 basis points to 23.3% primarily because of higher sales discounts, bad debts and property taxes.

 

Other

General and administrative expenses increased $204,000 compared to 3Q03 primarily because of professional fees related to compliance with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and higher insurance costs.

 

Interest expense declined $173,000, or 4.0%, compared to the prior year quarter. While debt outstanding has decreased by approximately $23.4 million, or 16.8%, since 3Q03, Carriage is not reporting as significant a decrease in interest expense because the current year period is negatively impacted by higher loan fees and compound interest on the deferred distributions of the convertible junior subordinated debentures.

 

Included in Other Expense (Income) in 3Q04 is a pre-tax charge of $495,000 to write-off capitalized costs of a cemetery accounting system development project that Carriage terminated. During 3Q04, management decided to implement a cemetery accounting system from another vendor. The remainder of the category consists principally of a gain on the sale of a tract of real estate.

 

Debt

As of September 30, 2004, Carriage’s outstanding debt consisted of $116.3 million of senior debt and $93.8 million of junior subordinated debentures plus deferred distributions to an affiliate trust. A component of Carriage’s senior debt is the $45 million revolving credit facility, under which the Company had additional borrowing capacity of $15.3 million at September 30, 2004.

 

One of the key metrics that Carriage and its lenders monitor is the Company’s debt-to-EBITDA ratio (excluding special charges and other items), which is a measure of the Company’s debt burden relative to earnings available for debt service. Carriage’s debt-to-EBITDA ratio (excluding special charges and other items) declined from 3.44 at year end 2003 to 3.06 at September 30, 2004, an 11% decrease, demonstrating a continuously improving credit profile for the Company.

 

14



 

Payoff of Series A Senior Notes

 

On July 30, 2004, Carriage paid the outstanding principal and interest in its Series A Senior Notes, which had an outstanding principal balance of $22 million. Subsequent to the payoff of the Series A Senior Notes and as of September 30, 2004, the Company had additional borrowing capacity of $15.3 million under its credit facility.

 

Change in Accounting

 

Carriage adopted accounting changes mandated by the Financial Accounting Standards Board relating to Interpretation No. 46, as revised (“FIN 46”), “Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities”, effective March 31, 2004.  FIN 46 clarifies the circumstances in which certain entities that do not have equity investors with a controlling financial interest must be consolidated by its sponsor.

 

The adoption of FIN 46 affects Carriage’s financial statements in two fundamental ways:

 

(1) The Company is consolidating preneed and perpetual care trusts in which it is the primary beneficiary of the trust assets.  The accounting related to such trusts was agreed to among Carriage and the other public deathcare companies, their auditors, and the staff at the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

(2) The Company is deconsolidating for accounting purposes Carriage Services Capital Trust (the “Trust”) which results in the removal of the preferred securities from the balance sheet and the addition of convertible junior subordinated debentures payable to the Trust.

 

The accounting changes did not affect Carriage’s earnings or cash flows for 1Q04.  No cumulative effect of an accounting change was recognized by Carriage as a result of implementing of FIN 46.  Additionally, the accounting changes principally affect classifications within the financial statements, but do not affect cash flow or the manner in which the Company recognizes and reports revenue or net income in future periods.

 

Preneed and Perpetual Care Trusts

 

Carriage implemented FIN 46 on March 31, 2004, which resulted in the consolidation of the Company’s preneed and perpetual care trust funds. The investments of such trust funds are now reported at fair value and the Company’s future obligations to deliver merchandise and services are now reported at estimated settlement amounts, which are equal and offsetting amounts.

 

Although FIN 46 requires consolidation of preneed and perpetual care trusts, it does not change the legal relationships among the trusts, Carriage its customers. In the case of preneed, the customers are the legal beneficiaries. In the case of perpetual care trusts, Carriage does not have a right to access the corpus in the perpetual care trusts. For these reasons, the Company has recognized non-controlling interests in its financial statements to reflect third party interests in these consolidated trust funds.

 

Both the preneed trusts and the cemetery perpetual care trusts hold investments in marketable securities which have been classified as available-for-sale. The investments are reported at fair value, with unrealized gains and losses allocated to Non-controlling interests in trust investments in Carriage’s consolidated balance sheet. Unrealized gains and losses attributable to the Company, but that have not been earned through the performance of services or delivery of merchandise is allocated to deferred revenues.

 

Also beginning March 31, 2004, the Company recognizes realized income, gains and losses of the preneed trusts and cemetery perpetual care trusts. Carriage recognizes a corresponding expense equal to the realized earnings of these trusts attributable to the non-controlling interest holders. When such earnings attributable to the Company have not been earned through the performance of services or delivery of merchandise, Carriage will record such earnings as deferred revenue.

 

15



 

For preneed trusts, Carriage recognizes as revenues amounts attributed to the non-controlling interest holders and the Company, including accumulated realized earnings, when the contracted services have been performed and merchandise delivered. For cemetery perpetual care trusts, Carriage recognizes investment earnings in cemetery revenues when such earnings are realized and distributable. Such earnings are intended to defray cemetery maintenance costs incurred by the Company.

 

Redeemable Convertible Preferred Securities

 

Carriage also was required to deconsolidate for accounting purposes Carriage Services Capital Trust (the “Trust”), a trust established in 1999 to issue convertible preferred term income deferrable equity securities (TIDES).  The TIDES were previously classified as temporary equity in the consolidated balance sheet.  The Company’s obligation to the Trust consists of convertible junior subordinated debentures due in 2029. As a result of deconsolidating the Trust, the Company now reports its obligation to the Trust, the convertible junior subordinated debentures, as a long-term liability. The reclassification of the amount ($93.75 million) has no effect on net income or on Carriage’s covenants with its senior lenders, because the obligations to the Trust are not classified as indebtedness for purposes of calculating financial ratios.

 

Substantially all the assets of the Trust consist of the convertible junior subordinated debentures of the Company.  Such debentures possess substantial characteristics of equity.  The rights of the debentures are functionally equivalent to those of the TIDES.  When issued in 1999, the conversion price was at a premium to the then-existing trading price of the Common Stock. The expectation was that holders would convert the TIDES into Common Stock well before their maturity in 2029, when the Company’s performance and improving conditions in the death care industry resulted in an appreciated stock price.  As a result of deteriorating conditions in the industry and Carriage’s own disappointing performance in the preceding four years, the TIDES have been trading substantially below their par value, which Carriage believes to be a reflection of the valuation and prospects of the Company’s common stock.  In management’s view, the debentures have a predominance of equity-like characteristics which are not normally found in debt securities (including traditional subordinated debt), such as:

 

                  The debentures are unsecured and subordinate to the Company’s senior debt, which includes the revolving credit facility, the senior notes and any other borrowed money obligations.  The debentures are not guaranteed by the Company’s subsidiaries, meaning that they are effectively subordinated to all liabilities of the subsidiaries, not just borrowed money debt.

 

                  Carriage has the right to defer the payment of interest on the debentures for up to 20 calendar quarters, and the Company is currently doing so.  The Company can catch up deferred interest and then re-start another deferral period prior to maturity.  During a deferral period, the only rights of the holders of the TIDES and debentures are to restrict the Company from making distributions to or repurchasing any stock, but Carriage is not subject to any other restrictions which would normally be associated with non-payment of debt securities, such as acceleration of maturity, limits on acquisitions or dispositions of assets, or any changes in the debt capital structure, such as incurring new debt, restructuring existing debt, changing debt terms, or granting security.

 

                  The TIDES are convertible into common stock at a fixed price well above the common stock’s current trading price.  Carriage believes the market value of the TIDES will continue to primarily be impacted by its unusually long-term maturity, the right to defer distributions and the subordination to all other outstanding debt for borrowed money, rather than the Company’s credit profile or level of interest rates.

 

                  As a result of the equity-like characteristics of the TIDES and debentures, the Company was able to have them treated as equity, rather than debt, under its credit and senior note agreements.

 

16



 

Carriage Services, Inc.

Historical Earnings & Operating Data

(In Thousands $, Except Per Share & Margin Analysis Data)

 

 

 

2002

 

Mar-03

 

Jun-03

 

Sep-03

 

Dec-03

 

2003

 

Mar-04

 

Jun-04

 

Sep-04

 

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral

 

119,299

 

30,354

 

28,702

 

26,883

 

29,798

 

115,737

 

31,392

 

28,290

 

26,847

 

Cemetery

 

34,877

 

8,352

 

9,165

 

8,818

 

8,751

 

35,086

 

9,781

 

9,921

 

9,385

 

Total Revenues

 

154,176

 

38,706

 

37,867

 

35,701

 

38,549

 

150,823

 

41,173

 

38,211

 

36,232

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Profit:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral

 

34,373

 

8,632

 

7,112

 

6,006

 

7,785

 

29,535

 

9,435

 

6,673

 

6,127

 

Cemetery

 

8,715

 

2,389

 

2,491

 

2,018

 

1,892

 

8,790

 

2,519

 

2,233

 

2,031

 

Total Gross Profit

 

43,088

 

11,021

 

9,603

 

8,024

 

9,677

 

38,325

 

11,954

 

8,906

 

8,158

 

Selling, General & Admin. Expense

 

10,815

 

2,533

 

2,411

 

2,544

 

3,004

 

10,492

 

2,683

 

2,545

 

2,748

 

Special & Other Charges

 

361

 

588

 

(896

)

(226

)

(43

)

(577

)

 

2,159

 

(616

)

Operating Income

 

31,912

 

7,900

 

8,088

 

5,706

 

6,716

 

28,410

 

9,271

 

4,202

 

6,026

 

Interest Expense

 

(19,750

)

(4,610

)

(4,415

)

(4,353

)

(4,433

)

(17,811

)

(4,388

)

(4,400

)

(4,175

)

Income Before Income Taxes

 

12,162

 

3,290

 

3,673

 

1,353

 

2,283

 

10,599

 

4,883

 

(198

)

1,851

 

Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes

 

(8,116

)

1,234

 

1,377

 

507

 

856

 

3,974

 

1,831

 

260

 

694

 

Net Income

 

20,278

 

2,056

 

2,296

 

846

 

1,427

 

6,625

 

3,052

 

(458

)

1,157

 

Special Charges & Other Items

 

(12,574

)

368

 

(560

)

(141

)

(27

)

(361

)

 

1,683

 

(385

)

Net Income Before Special Charges & Other Items

 

7,704

 

2,424

 

1,736

 

705

 

1,400

 

6,264

 

3,052

 

1,225

 

772

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic EPS

 

$

1.20

 

$

0.12

 

$

0.13

 

$

0.05

 

$

0.08

 

$

0.38

 

$

0.17

 

$

(0.03

)

$

0.06

 

Diluted EPS

 

$

1.16

 

$

0.12

 

$

0.13

 

$

0.05

 

$

0.08

 

$

0.37

 

$

0.17

 

$

(0.03

)

$

0.06

 

Diluted EPS Excluding Special Charges & Other Items

 

$

0.44

 

$

0.14

 

$

0.10

 

$

0.04

 

$

0.08

 

$

0.35

 

$

0.17

 

$

0.07

 

$

0.04

 

Weighted Average Shares Outstanding:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

16,973

 

17,320

 

17,411

 

17,496

 

17,545

 

17,444

 

17,656

 

17,764

 

17,834

 

Diluted

 

17,433

 

17,714

 

17,788

 

17,832

 

17,866

 

17,808

 

18,139

 

18,258

 

18,281

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Margin Analysis

 

2002

 

Mar-03

 

Jun-03

 

Sep-03

 

Dec-03

 

2003

 

Mar-04

 

Jun-04

 

Sep-04

 

Revenues:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral

 

77.4

%

78.4

%

75.8

%

75.3

%

77.3

%

76.7

%

76.2

%

74.0

%

74.1

%

Cemetery

 

22.6

%

21.6

%

24.2

%

24.7

%

22.7

%

23.3

%

23.8

%

26.0

%

25.9

%

Total Revenues

 

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Profit:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral

 

28.8

%

28.4

%

24.8

%

22.3

%

26.1

%

25.5

%

30.1

%

23.6

%

22.8

%

Cemetery

 

25.0

%

28.6

%

27.2

%

22.9

%

21.6

%

25.1

%

25.8

%

22.5

%

21.6

%

Total Gross Profit

 

27.9

%

28.5

%

25.4

%

22.5

%

25.1

%

25.4

%

29.0

%

23.3

%

22.5

%

Selling, General & Admin. Expense

 

7.0

%

6.5

%

6.4

%

7.1

%

7.8

%

7.0

%

6.5

%

6.7

%

7.6

%

Special & Other Charges

 

0.2

%

1.5

%

-2.4

%

-0.6

%

-0.1

%

-0.4

%

0.0

%

5.7

%

-1.7

%

Operating Income

 

20.7

%

20.4

%

21.4

%

16.0

%

17.4

%

18.8

%

22.5

%

11.0

%

16.6

%

Interest Expense, Net

 

-8.5

%

-7.6

%

-7.2

%

-7.5

%

-7.1

%

-7.3

%

-6.4

%

-6.9

%

-6.5

%

Financing Costs of Preferred Securities

 

-4.3

%

-4.3

%

-4.4

%

-4.7

%

-4.4

%

-4.5

%

-4.2

%

-4.6

%

-5.0

%

Income Before Income Taxes

 

7.9

%

8.5

%

9.7

%

3.8

%

5.9

%

7.0

%

11.9

%

-0.5

%

5.1

%

Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes

 

-5.3

%

3.2

%

3.6

%

1.4

%

2.2

%

2.6

%

4.4

%

0.7

%

1.9

%

Net Income

 

13.2

%

5.3

%

6.1

%

2.4

%

3.7

%

4.4

%

7.4

%

-1.2

%

3.2

%

Special Charges & Other Items

 

-8.2

%

1.0

%

-1.5

%

-0.4

%

-0.1

%

-0.2

%

0.0

%

4.4

%

-1.1

%

Net Income Before Special Charges & Other Items

 

5.0

%

6.3

%

4.6

%

2.0

%

3.6

%

4.2

%

7.4

%

3.2

%

2.1

%

 

Year-Over-Year Percentage Change

 

Funeral Revenues

 

-4.0

%

-7.2

%

-0.5

%

-2.3

%

-1.5

%

-3.0

%

3.4

%

-1.4

%

-0.1

%

Cemetery Revenues

 

-8.7

%

1.7

%

1.6

%

2.5

%

-3.2

%

0.6

%

17.1

%

8.2

%

6.4

%

Total Revenues

 

-5.1

%

-5.4

%

0.0

%

-1.2

%

-1.9

%

-2.2

%

6.4

%

0.9

%

1.5

%

Selling, General & Admin. Expense

 

24.3

%

1.1

%

3.5

%

-29.7

%

27.2

%

-3.0

%

5.9

%

5.6

%

8.0

%

Operating Income

 

1.0

%

-27.4

%

9.9

%

1.5

%

-16.6

%

-11.0

%

17.4

%

-48.0

%

5.6

%

Income Before Income Taxes

 

8.1

%

-45.9

%

50.6

%

60.1

%

-18.4

%

-12.9

%

48.4

%

-105.4

%

36.8

%

Net Income Before Special Charges & Other Items

 

-14.4

%

-35.5

%

17.5

%

35.5

%

-28.0

%

-18.7

%

25.9

%

-29.4

%

9.6

%

Diluted EPS Excluding Special Charges & Other Items

 

-13.7

%

-36.6

%

25.0

%

32.0

%

-29.6

%

-20.3

%

23.0

%

-31.3

%

0.0

%

 

17



 

COMPANY BACKGROUND

 

Carriage Services is a leading provider of Death Care services and products in the United States and is the fourth largest publicly traded Death Care Company. As of October 31, 2004, Carriage operated 136 funeral homes and 30 cemeteries in 28 states. Carriage provides a complete range of funeral and cremation services including planning and coordinating personalized funerals, conducting memorial services, performing cemetery interment services, and managing and maintaining cemetery properties. The Company also sells products and merchandise including caskets, urns, burial vaults, cemetery interment rights, and monuments and markers. Carriage’s business can be characterized as one of relative stability, recurring revenue and cash flow, with incremental growth opportunities via selective acquisitions.

 

The Death Care industry experienced a period of rapid growth through acquisition from 1996 through 1999, which took the industry’s eye off the operating ball, Carriage included. At the crescendo of 1999, balance sheets were over leveraged, acquisition multiples revealed they were too high, and industry conditions became challenging. In response, Carriage and its public peers significantly curtailed their acquisition activity, focused on operations to improve cash flow, and began culling through their property portfolios to find non-core and/or under performing assets that could be sold to generate cash to reduce debt.

 

Thus, 2000 was a transitional year for Carriage Services as it developed and began implementing its two-year multi-element Fresh Start Program in the fourth quarter of 2000 to address its poor operating performance and a challenging operating environment. Due largely to the successful implementation and execution of Fresh Start, Carriage Services has recovered from a highly leveraged balance sheet and sub-par operating performance, resulting from the rapid consolidation period the Death Care industry experienced in 1996 through 1999.

 

Beginning with the implementation of the Fresh Start program and through the year 2003, Carriage sold 37 funeral homes, 12 cemeteries and 14 parcels of excess real estate for net proceeds of approximately $20 million. While these transactions taken together over that period represent a decline of approximately 23% of the number of business locations, total revenues only declined by approximately 7.2% and total gross profit has increased by 20%, when comparing 2000 operating results to 2003 operating results. Year-to-date through September 30, 2004, Carriage has sold two funeral home businesses and two parcels of land.

 

Acquisition Spending (In Millions)

 

 


* Excludes payments of contingent acquisition obligations.

 

Carriage Services

Funeral Home & Cemetery Count

 

 

 

Year Ending December 31,

 

9 Mos.
2004

 

 

 

2000

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

 

Beginning Funeral Homes

 

182

 

172

 

148

 

144

 

139

 

Acquisitions or Openings

 

1

 

2

 

2

 

0

 

0

 

Divestitures, Mergers or Closures

 

11

 

26

 

6

 

5

 

2

 

Ending Funeral Homes

 

172

 

148

 

144

 

139

 

137

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning Cemeteries

 

41

 

38

 

30

 

30

 

30

 

Acquisitions

 

1

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

Divestitures

 

4

 

8

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

Ending Cemeteries

 

38

 

30

 

30

 

30

 

30

 

 

In addition to making operational and financial improvements as part of Fresh Start, Carriage reduced its corporate overhead and increased the quality of its leadership. Carriage has turned to new leadership at substantially all levels of the Company to focus on operations and to reposition Carriage for future growth. Carriage will continue to improve its organizational leadership and quality of personnel going forward.

 

18



 

SUCCESSFUL FRESH START PROGRAM LARGELY COMPLETE

 

In response to its leveraged balance sheet resulting from its past active acquisition program, deteriorating operating results, and a challenging operating environment, Carriage implemented its multi-faceted Fresh Start Program in the fourth quarter of 2000, which has been successful and is largely complete. The five Fresh Start goals Carriage set out to achieve were:

 

1.               Restore credibility to its operating and consolidation model;

2.               Increase and better align its earnings and free cash flow;

3.               Restore market value credibility to its balance sheet;

4.               Reduce debt; and

5.               Re-access the capital markets.

 

The program began with a review of its funeral home and cemetery portfolios, operating strategies, organizational structure, and financial covenants under Carriage’s credit agreements. The key elements required to achieve the five Fresh Start goals are as follows:

 

Downsize its corporate organization

 

 

Strengthen its corporate and operating leadership

 

 

Improve or dispose of under performing businesses

 

 

Modify debt covenants

 

 

Stratify its funeral home portfolio

 

 

Change its preneed funeral marketing strategy

 

 

Adjust the carrying value of remaining assets

 

 

 

Carriage is pleased to report that the primary goals of its Fresh Start initiatives have been achieved. Carriage is committed to continue operating a lean corporate organization, strengthening its corporate and local business leadership, and improving or selling underperforming businesses. Carriage’s progress in achieving each of the five Fresh Start goals, together with their continued relevance to future results, is as follows:

 

ý           Restore credibility to its operating and consolidation model – Carriage is committed to becoming the best, not the biggest, company in its industry.  This commitment is driven by a strong culture of service and leadership excellence whose goal is to build a lasting enterprise.  As a result, Carriage has raised performance standards and increased accountability for all employees throughout the organization. Recruiting top quality leaders and managers and aligning incentive compensation to its operating strategy have become key elements of Carriage’s operating strategy.

 

In Carriage’s view, the benefit of integrating acquired businesses is to introduce its innovative service and sales strategies to provide the highest quality funeral experience to client families and to introduce its operating model to improve long-term performance. Carriage continues to invest heavily in employee training in order to enable its field operations to better serve families, especially training on personalization of the funeral ritual to create a unique and emotional experience. The result of successful execution of its service and sales strategies will be to increase customer satisfaction, revenue per experience, and market share.

 

ý           Increase and better align earnings and free cash flow – Since implementing Fresh Start, Carriage has implemented more disciplined controls over its capital expenditures and shifted its preneed funeral marketing strategy from a national to a local focus. The Company transitioned from a national, centralized strategy to a local, decentralized strategy whereby each business location customized a preneed program to its local needs. Accordingly, Carriage eliminated the national funeral sales organization and emphasized using insurance contracts to fund preneed contracts. This allowed carriage to substantially downsize its administrative support organization. These two factors have been the key drivers to better align earnings and free cash flow. In conjunction with the operating model described above, Carriage believes it will continue to improve and maintain the alignment of earnings and cash flow.

 

ý           Restore market value credibility to its balance sheet – In reviewing its funeral home and cemetery portfolios, Carriage established performance standards consistent with its mission of ‘Becoming the Best’. These action plans included the decision to sell its businesses that cannot meet the Company’s new standards. Since Fresh Start was initiated in 2000 and through 2003, Carriage has closed one funeral property and has sold 37 funeral properties, 12 cemeteries and 14 parcels of excess real estate for net proceeds of $20 million. In 2Q04, Carriage sold two parcels of

 

19



 

land and in July 2004, Carriage sold two funeral homes. Where appropriate the carrying values of the businesses targeted for sale were written down to the estimated net realizable value. The significant charges Carriage incurred in 2000 to initiate its Fresh Start Program substantially reduced the Company’s book value per share by $8.25 to $4.78 at December 31, 2000. Since implementing Fresh Start, Carriage’s book value per share has increased to $6.18 at September 30, 2004. As Carriage executes its operating model and successfully improves long-term profitability, the Company expects to continue to increase book value per share.

 

ý           Re-access the capital markets – In August 2003 Carriage replaced its $75 million bank revolving credit facility with a $40 million (increased to $45 million effective May 13, 2004) unsecured revolving credit facility that matures in March 2006 with Bank of America and Wells Fargo. The credit facility and expected asset dispositions should provide sufficient borrowings to meet the Company’s current and future working capital needs and provided the capital to retire the $22 million balance of its Series A Senior Notes in July 2004, thereby eliminating any near-term refinancing concerns. The remaining $73 million balance of the Series B and Series C senior notes matures July 2006 and July 2008 in the amounts of $52 million and $21 million, respectively, and carries an approximate weighted average rate of 8%. As a result, the Company expects that additional debt financing or equity will be necessary in future years. The availability and terms of such capital will depend on prevailing market conditions and the then existing financial conditions of the Company.

 

The fact that Carriage was able to place its bank facility in what is a very challenging credit market is significant. It is also significant that Carriage was able to obtain an unsecured facility. Carriage is the only public company in the death care industry with an unsecured revolving bank credit facility. This is a testament to the Company’s success in executing on its Fresh Start program and its consistent track record of consistently paying down debt. More importantly, by having an unsecured credit facility, it allows Carriage to retain full control of its capital structure, which will allow its favorable terms to remain intact and provides additional financial flexibility to optimize the Company’s balance sheet in future years.

 

ý           Reduce debt – Since Fresh Start was initiated on November 8, 2000, Carriage has reduced its debt and contingent obligations from previous acquisitions by $88.7 million, or 43%, from $205 million to $116.3 million at September 30, 2004. In complying with the conditions of the new credit facility, Carriage began on September 1, 2003, deferring interest payments on its subordinated debentures held by the Company’s affiliated trust. Thus, cash distributions on TIDES convertible trust preferred securities will be deferred for at least the term of the new credit facility.

 

As a result of deferring the TIDES distribution payments, Carriage has accelerated its senior debt repayment forecasts through 2007. Carriage forecasts that it will pay down senior debt at a 21.0% CARR (compound annual reduction rate) through 2007 versus its previous forecast prior to the deferral of the TIDES distribution payments of an 11.9% CARR.

 

Accelerated Senior Debt Reduction Forecast

 

 

CARR = Compound Annual Reduction Rate

 

Substantial Senior Debt Reduction

 

 


* Includes contingent acquisition obligations.

 

20



 

CSV: A UNIQUE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

 

Carriage Services has improved operational and financial performance, and reduced debt. With the demonstrated success of its Fresh Start Program, Carriage Services has turned the corner and is implementing its “Being the Best” funeral operating model to reposition the Company for future organic growth. Carriage’s improved operations has enabled the Company to generate meaningful amounts of free cash flow, which, coupled with dispositions, and tax savings, has allowed it to substantially pay down senior debt without using external financing sources. Based on Carriage’s current equity valuation and, relative to its peers, Carriage does not believe the equity market has truly recognized its accomplishments, nor the opportunities Carriage has for the future.

 

Carriage believes its current capital structure, coupled with the ability to generate free cash flow supplemented with cash from dispositions, enables it to meaningfully pay down debt, offering investors the unique investment characteristics of a LBO structure. We examine several possible Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA multiple scenarios that yield an implied four-year IRR (internal rate of return) range of 10% to 25%. We provide these three scenarios to give investors the opportunity to consider a range of possible outcomes. Scenario #1 assumes that Carriage’s Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA Multiple declines by one multiple point over the next four years. Scenario #2 assumes that Carriage’s Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA multiple remains flat over the next four years and Scenario #3 assumes that Carriage’s Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA multiple gradually increases by one multiple point over the next four years.

 

Carriage stresses that this scenario analysis is only one possible outcome within a range of possible outcomes. While Carriage believes it is using reasonable assumptions to model operating results, cash flow, and the possible effect on Carriage’s per share price, there can be no assurance that actual results and Carriage’s share price would be consistent with these scenarios.  Subsequent management decisions and other factors (including those discussed under “Cautionary Statements”) may materially alter those assumptions and the effect on actual results. The Long-Term Base Case Scenario is adjusted to consider the affect to EBITDA and estimated debt reductions for expected divestitures and is based on no growth in same store funeral contract volumes between 2003 and 2007, and modest increases in average revenue per funeral contract of 1.5% per year, which assumes an increasing proportion of cremations. Further, this scenario does not reflect Carriage’s financial flexibility, which allows for alternative uses for free cash flow, such as acquisitions or selective expansion of its existing portfolio of businesses.

 

Long-Term Base Case Scenario

(Revised as of September 7, 2004)

(In Millions $, Except Per Share Data)

 

 

 

Actual
12/31/03

 

12/31/04

 

12/31/05

 

12/31/06

 

12/31/07

 

CAGR

 

Revenue

 

150.8

 

153.1

 

158.7

 

162.5

 

166.5

 

2.5

%

Income Before Taxes & Special Items

 

10.0

 

12.0

 

13.4

 

14.9

 

16.5

 

13.3

%

Interest

 

17.8

 

17.1

 

16.3

 

15.9

 

15.3

 

-3.7

%

Depreciation & Amortization

 

11.1

 

11.1

 

12.1

 

12.4

 

12.8

 

3.7

%

EBITDA (Excluding Special Items)

 

38.9

 

40.2

 

41.8

 

43.2

 

44.6

 

3.5

%

EPS, Diluted

 

0.35

(1)

0.41

 

0.46

 

0.51

 

0.56

 

12.3

%

Diluted Shares Outstanding

 

17.8

 

18.3

 

18.4

 

18.5

 

18.7

 

1.3

%

Cash Flow from Operations Before Sub. Debt Interest Deferral

 

11.4

 

16.2

 

16.8

 

18.6

 

20.1

 

15.4

%

Cash Flow from Deferral of Sub. Debt Interest

 

3.3

 

7.0

 

7.5

 

8.1

 

8.7

 

27.2

%

Cashflow from Operations

 

14.7

 

23.2

 

24.3

 

26.7

 

28.8

 

18.3

%

Less Capital Expenditures

 

6.2

 

6.5

 

6.0

 

5.5

 

5.5

 

-3.0

%

Free Cash Flow

 

8.5

 

16.7

 

18.3

 

21.2

 

23.3

 

28.8

%

Plus/Minus Net Cash Taxes

 

0.1

 

0.2

 

4.7

 

5.5

 

6.4

 

NM

 

Pre-Tax Free Cash Flow

 

8.6

 

16.9

 

23.0

 

26.7

 

29.7

 

36.5

%

Divestitures & Other

 

5.1

 

2.7

 

0.2

 

0.2

 

0.2

 

NM

 

Cumulative Deferral of Sub. Debt Interest

 

3.9

 

10.9

 

18.4

 

26.5

 

35.2

 

73.4

%

Total Debt

 

135.5

 

116.1

 

97.6

 

76.2

 

52.7

 

-21.0

%

Total Debt / EBITDA (Excluding Special Items)

 

3.5

 

2.9

 

2.3

 

1.8

 

1.2

 

-23.7

%

 


(1) Excludes the effect of $0.02 benefit recorded in 2003 as special charges and other items.

NM = Not meaningful

 

21



 

In this scenario, we assume that revenues grow at a 2.5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next four years and assume that EBITDA grows at a 3.5% CAGR over the same period.  The Company estimates it could grow free cash flow at a 28.8% CAGR, which could allow it to reduce senior debt from $135.5 million at the end of 2003 to $52.7 million at the end of 2007, a 21.0% four-year compound annual reduction in senior debt.  The Company estimates that over one-half of the 12.3% CAGR in EPS would result from interest savings related to debt reduction.  The key elements driving the substantial debt reduction over the four-year period are gradual field level operating margin improvement, selective dispositions of underperforming assets and cash tax savings in 2004.  Due to the utilization of the Company’s net tax loss carry forward, Carriage does not expect to pay taxes until 2005. Notwithstanding the assumptions regarding cash taxes, assumed operating leverage and debt reduction could generate attractive IRR results throughout the four-year period.

 

BASE CASE ENTERPRISE VALUATION “LBO” STRUCTURE

 

We use the financial assumptions in the Long-Term Base Case Scenario as the foundation for the Base Case Enterprise Valuation analysis scenario. We use the December 1, 2004 CSV closing share price of $5.04 per share with a total equity market value of roughly $92.1 million, which, when combined with its debt and the subordinated debt due to an affiliated trust plus deferred interest, yields an enterprise value of approximately $311.3 million.

 

Long-Term Base Case Scenario

(In Millions $, Except Multiples & Per Share Data)

 

SCENARIO #1: 1 Point Multiple Decrease

 

 

 

9/30/2004

 

12/31/04

 

12/31/05

 

12/31/06

 

12/31/07

 

Implied Enterprise Value (EV):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Senior Debt

 

116.3

 

116.1

 

97.6

 

76.2

 

52.7

 

Subordinated Debt to Affiliated Trust & Deferred Interest

 

102.8

 

104.6

 

112.2

 

120.3

 

129.0

 

Implied Mkt. Value Equity

 

92.1

 

98.4

 

111.7

 

125.0

 

139.1

 

Total

 

311.3

 

319.2

 

321.5

 

321.5

 

320.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EBITDA

 

38.0

 

40.2

 

41.8

 

43.2

 

44.6

 

Diluted Shares Out.

 

18.3

 

18.3

 

18.4

 

18.5

 

18.7

 

 

SCENARIO #1: 1 Point Multiple Decrease

 

EV/EBITDA Multiple

 

8.2

X

7.9

X

7.7

X

7.4

X

7.2

X

Implied Stock Price

 

$

5.04

 

$

5.38

 

$

6.07

 

$

6.76

 

$

7.44

 

Annual % Increase

 

 

 

7

%

13

%

11

%

10

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4 - Year Compound IRR

 

10%

 

 


* Trailing four quarter EBITDA as of 9/30/04.

 

Scenario #1: One Point Multiple Decrease - We assume that Carriage’s Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA multiple declines by one multiple point over the next four years. Over that same period of time, Carriage’s free cash flow generation and business dispositions in 2004 allows it to substantially reduce its debt levels, which, in turn, benefits CSV equity investors. Based on the assumption of a declining Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA multiple but a rising implied share price based on a per share debt reduction, the per share price increases from the December 1, 2004 closing share price of $5.04 to an implied share price of $7.44 at the end of 2007, a four-year IRR in CSV share price of approximately 10%. Over this same time frame, Carriage’s absolute Enterprise Value-to- EBITDA multiple would decline by a full multiple point from 8.2X currently to 7.2X at the end of 2007. It is worth noting that even assuming a one multiple point decline over the next four years, under this scenario investors could still earn an attractive return on investment.

 

22



 

Long-Term Base Case Scenario

(In Millions $, Except Multiples & Per Share Data)

 

SCENARIO #2: Flat Multiple

 

 

 

9/30/2004

 

12/31/04

 

12/31/05

 

12/31/06

 

12/31/07

 

Implied Enterprise Value (EV):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Senior Debt

 

116.3

 

116.1

 

97.6

 

76.2

 

52.7

 

Subordinated Debt to Affiliated Trust & Deferred Interest

 

102.8

 

104.6

 

112.2

 

120.3

 

129.0

 

Implied Mkt. Value Equity

 

92.1

 

108.5

 

132.6

 

157.4

 

183.6

 

Total

 

311.3

 

329.2

 

342.4

 

353.9

 

365.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EBITDA

 

38.0

 

40.2

 

41.8

 

43.2

 

44.6

 

Diluted Shares Out.

 

18.3

 

18.3

 

18.4

 

18.5

 

18.7

 

 

SCENARIO #2: Flat Multiple

 

EV/EBITDA Multiple

 

8.2

X

8.2

X

8.2

X

8.2

X

8.2

X

Implied Stock Price

 

$

5.04

 

$

5.93

 

$

7.21

 

$

8.51

 

$

9.82

 

Annual % Increase

 

 

 

18

%

22

%

18

%

15

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4 - Year Compound IRR

 

18%

 

 


* Trailing four quarter EBITDA as of 9/30/04.

 

Scenario #2: Flat Multiple – We assume that Carriage’s Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA multiple remains flat at 8.2X over the next four years. Though we assume the multiple remains flat, Carriage’s estimated 3.6% CAGR in EBITDA and an estimated 21.0% CAGR in debt reduction due to approximately 28.8% anticipated compounded annual growth in free cash flow over the next four years implies an increase in share price from $5.04 at December 1, 2004, to $9.82, an 18% four-year IRR.

 

23



 

Long-Term Base Case Scenario

(In Millions $, Except Multiples & Per Share Data)

 

SCENARIO #3: 1 Point Multiple Increase

 

 

 

9/30/2004

 

12/31/04

 

12/31/05

 

12/31/06

 

12/31/07

 

Implied Enterprise Value (EV):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Senior Debt

 

116.3

 

116.1

 

97.6

 

76.2

 

52.7

 

Subordinated Debt to Affiliated Trust & Deferred Interest

 

102.8

 

104.6

 

112.2

 

120.3

 

129.0

 

Implied Mkt. Value Equity

 

92.1

 

118.5

 

153.5

 

189.7

 

228.2

 

Total

 

311.3

 

339.3

 

363.3

 

386.2

 

409.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EBITDA

 

38.0

 

40.2

 

41.8

 

43.2

 

44.6

 

Diluted Shares Out.

 

18.3

 

18.3

 

18.4

 

18.5

 

18.7

 

 

SCENARIO #3: 1 Point Multiple Increase

 

EV/EBITDA Multiple

 

8.2

X

8.4

X

8.7

X

8.9

X

9.2

X

Implied Stock Price

 

$

5.04

 

$

6.48

 

$

8.34

 

$

10.26

 

$

12.20

 

Annual % Increase

 

 

 

28

%

29

%

23

%

19

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4 - Year Compound IRR

 

25%

 

 


* Trailing four quarter EBITDA as of 9/30/04.

 

Scenario #3: One Point Multiple Increase – We assume that Carriage’s Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA multiple gradually increases over the next four years by one multiple point to 9.2X. This scenario implies an increase in share price from $5.04 at December 1, 2004, to $12.20, a 25% four-year IRR.

 

24



 

DEATH CARE INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

 

Death Care Industry Landscape

 

Despite a period of rapid consolidation of smaller, private funeral and cemetery businesses by the public Death Care companies in 1996 through 1999, the industry remains fragmented. Carriage estimates that there are approximately 22,000 funeral homes and 10,000 cemeteries in the United States. It is estimated that Carriage Services and the three other largest publicly traded domestic Death Care companies represented approximately 20% of the 2003 domestic Death Care industry revenues. Though Carriage and the rest of its public peers have significantly reduced or eliminated an active acquisition program, there remains the opportunity for consolidation of smaller, privately held businesses to supplement internal growth.

 

2003E Death Care Market

 

 

Established death care businesses have a number of advantages over insurgent death care service providers in a given market, but barriers to entry are not prohibitive. Death care businesses have traditionally been transferred to successive generations within a family and in most cases have developed a local heritage and tradition that afford an established funeral home or cemetery a local franchise and provide the opportunity for repeat business. In addition, established firms’ backlog of preneed, prefunded funerals or presold cemetery and mausoleum spaces provides a base of future revenue. Additional barriers to entry include the difficulty of local zoning restrictions, increasing regulatory burdens, and scarcity of cemetery land in certain urban areas.

 

However, since 1999, Carriage has seen new independent competitors capture some local market share. In many cases, these new independent businesses are started by personnel who have left public death care consolidators or family owned businesses. Often, such businesses are attempting to build market share by competing on price rather than heritage and tradition.

 

Historical Death Rate Trends & Forecasts – Still Valid?

 

The national death rate in the United States has grown at a compound annual rate of approximately 1% from 1980 through 2000, with annual variation of 1%-2%. National government statistics are predicting an annual compounded rate of growth in the number of deaths of .75% through 2010, after which the rate of growth is expected to gradually increase due to the aging population. However, based on data from the CDC (adjusted for non-reporting cities) death rates declined approximately 2.4% in 2001, 1.6% in 2002, and 1.4% in 2003 – an unprecedented three year consecutive decline in death rates.

 

It is uncertain if the past three years of sequential declines in death rates is indicative of a fundamental change in future death rates trends, or what specific factors caused the sequential declines. While the number of deaths typically varies from year to year, it is believed by some that major medical advances in treating heart, cancer and other major diseases that cause death are resulting in an increase in the average age of the population. With several years of unprecedented sequential declines in death rates, is the improvement in healthcare beginning to have a secular impact on mortality rates that call into question historical mortality trends and projections? At this point that cannot be determined.

 

Estimated U.S. Death Rate

 

 

 

Deaths in
000’s

 

Y/Y Est.
% Change

 

2000

 

2,393

 

0.7

%

2001

 

2,410

 

0.7

%

2002

 

2,427

 

0.7

%

2003

 

2,444

 

0.7

%

2004

 

2,462

 

0.7

%

2005

 

2,480

 

0.7

%

2010

 

2,578

 

0.8

%

2015

 

2,695

 

0.9

%

2020

 

2,840

 

1.1

%

2025

 

3,033

 

1.4

%

2030

 

3,257

 

1.4

%

2035

 

3,491

 

1.3

%

2040

 

3,702

 

1.1

%

 

Projected Life Expectancy

 

 

 

Male

 

Female

 

1999

 

74.1

 

79.8

 

2025

 

77.6

 

83.6

 

2050

 

81.2

 

86.7

 

2100

 

88.0

 

92.3

 

 

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

 

The Death Care industry tends to experience some seasonal biases in the winter months due to increases in cold weather induced deaths, or occasionally in extreme heat conditions in the summer. Despite a period of unusual decreases in death rates,

 

25



 

the Death Care business can generally be characterized as one of relative stability, reliability, and a very low failure rate. Carriage views the long-term stability and reliability of the Death Care business, through good times and bad, as an attractive investment attribute.

 

The Aging Population & the Baby Boomers

 

As indicated in the accompanying table and chart, using data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the largest percent of the population is in the 25 to 44 age bracket, accounting for 30.2% of the total 2000 population. However, the U.S. population is getting older and as the Baby Boomer generation begins to age, the percentage of the population age 65 and over is expected to rise from 12.4% in 2000 to 13.2% in 2010, and then to 16.5% by 2020. Correspondingly, the percentage of the population age 25 to 44 is expected to fall from 30.2% in 2000 to 26.1% in 2010, and then to 25.7% by 2020.

 

The growth in the 65 and older portion of the U.S. population is significant because historically 68.5% of deaths in the U.S. have occurred when people are age 65 and older. Based on U.S. Census population data, if 12.4% of the population in 2000 was age 65 or older, then there were 34.1 million people age 65 or older in 2000. If the population age 65 or older is expected to rise to 16.5% by 2020, then there will be 53.6 million people age 65 or older by 2020.

 

Population Age Distribution: 1990 - 2040

 

 

 

1990A

 

2000A

 

2010E

 

2020E

 

2030E

 

2040E

 

Total Population

 

248,710

 

281,422

 

299,862

 

324,927

 

351,070

 

377,350

 

% Change

 

 

 

4.2

%

4.1

%

3.9

%

3.6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Under 15

 

21.5

%

21.4

%

19.8

%

19.9

%

19.7

%

19.6

%

15 to 24

 

14.8

%

13.9

%

14.3

%

13.0

%

13.1

%

13.2

%

25 to 44

 

32.5

%

30.2

%

26.1

%

25.7

%

25.1

%

24.5

%

45 to 64

 

18.6

%

22.0

%

26.5

%

24.9

%

22.1

%

22.3

%

65 to 74

 

7.3

%

6.5

%

7.1

%

9.7

%

10.7

%

9.0

%

75 to 84

 

4.0

%

4.4

%

4.3

%

4.8

%

6.8

%

7.7

%

85 and over

 

1.2

%

1.5

%

1.9

%

2.1

%

2.5

%

3.8

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

65 and over

 

12.5

%

12.4

%

13.2

%

16.5

%

20.0

%

20.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Aging of the Baby Boomers

 

 

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

 

Population Age Distribution: 1990 - 2040

 

 

Cremation Trends

 

The aging of the large number of Baby Boomers over the next ten to twenty years could raise the national mortality rate slightly above its historic average, generating enhanced growth opportunities for the death care industry. However, a rising trend in cremations poses some risk for the death care industry to fully realize the benefit from the shift in the population to the +65 years of age category. It is estimated that cremations accounted for approximately 10% of the U.S. burial market in 1980 and has grown to approximately 28% in 2002. The cremation trend is expected to increase to 36% of the U.S. burial market in 2010. While cremation services and products are higher margin than traditional burial proceedings, they are typically less in absolute dollar terms. To mitigate this and to even capitalize on the growing cremation trend, Carriage has developed innovative, high quality funeral and memorializing services and additional products to increase its cremation revenue per funeral.

 

U.S. Cremation Rates: As a % of Total Deaths

 

 

Source: Cremation Assoc. of N. America

 


* Preliminary Figure

 

26



 

Carriage Services Peer Analysis

Selected Historical Financial & Operating Data & Valuation Data

 

In Thousands Except Per Share and Percentage Data

 

 

 

Carriage Services (CSV)

 

Service Corp. Intl. (SCI)

 

Stewart Enterprises (STEI)(1)

 

Alderwoods Group (AWGI)

 

 

 

2002

 

2003

 

9 Mos ‘04

 

2002

 

2003

 

9 Mos ‘04

 

2002

 

2003

 

9 Mos ‘04(2)

 

2002

 

2003

 

9 Mos ‘04

 

Selected Historical Financial Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral Revenues

 

119,299

 

115,737

 

86,529

 

1,682,506

 

1,743,983

 

982,148

 

345,200

 

298,569

 

212,830

 

486,834

 

501,590

 

366,845

 

Cemetery Revenues & Other (3)

 

34,877

 

35,086

 

29,087

 

641,113

 

597,668

 

439,378

 

236,121

 

223,489

 

175,044

 

219,314

 

238,961

 

186,002

 

Total Revenues

 

154,176

 

150,823

 

115,616

 

2,323,619

 

2,341,651

 

1,421,526

 

581,321

 

522,058

 

387,874

 

706,148

 

740,551

 

552,847

 

Funeral Gross Profit

 

34,374

 

29,535

 

22,235

 

284,669

 

282,561

 

183,045

 

88,151

 

70,682

 

62,158

 

111,334

 

115,918

 

77,867

 

Cemetery & Other Gross Profit

 

8,714

 

8,790

 

6,783

 

78,256

 

83,237

 

71,705

 

56,633

 

49,689

 

43,039

 

19,331

 

30,357

 

19,259

 

Total Gross Profit

 

43,088

 

38,325

 

29,018

 

362,925

 

365,798

 

254,750

 

144,784

 

120,371

 

105,197

 

130,665

 

146,275

 

97,126

 

G&A Expenses

 

10,815

 

10,492

 

7,976

 

89,752

 

178,101

 

100,347

 

17,261

 

20,183

 

12,684

 

43,188

 

56,281

 

36,166

 

EBITDA (Excluding Special Charges & Other Items) (4)

 

42,776

 

38,855

 

30,089

 

462,906

 

449,955

 

309,010

 

186,300

 

158,800

 

132,073

 

132,500

 

126,700

 

92,105

 

Special Charges & Other Items

 

(361

)

577

 

1,543

 

(177,743

)

50,350

 

33,018

 

(18,500

)

(107,300

)

(3,216

)

(228,418

)

(4,699

)

(937

)

Other Operating Expenses (Income)

 

 

 

 

94,910

 

9,004

 

(6,932

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Income

 

31,912

 

28,410

 

19,499

 

520

 

229,043

 

194,353

 

109,023

 

(7,112

)

89,297

 

(140,941

)

85,295

 

60,023

 

Net Income (Loss) before Chg. in Acctg. Principle and/or Other Items

 

7,478

 

6,625

 

3,751

 

(96,926

)

85,082

 

135,516

 

31,866

 

(73,468

)

37,328

 

(233,744

)

10,807

 

(15,017

)

Cum. Effect of Change in Accounting Principle and/or Other Item

 

12,800

 

 

 

(135,560

)

 

(48,061

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income (Loss)

 

20,278

 

6,625

 

3,751

 

(232,486

)

85,082

 

87,455

 

31,866

 

(73,468

)

37,328

 

(233,744

)

10,807

 

(15,017

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash Flow from Operations

 

18,945

 

14,680

 

17,173

 

352,172

 

374,108

 

183,226

 

90,489

 

69,820

 

68,602

 

68,684

 

154,537

 

86,535

 

Capital Expenditures

 

6,034

 

6,204

 

3,448

 

100,045

 

116,000

 

67,495

 

18,630

 

18,439

 

14,280

 

21,372

 

25,380

 

23,893

 

Free cash Flow

 

12,911

 

8,476

 

13,725

 

252,127

 

258,108

 

115,731

 

71,859

 

51,381

 

54,322

 

47,312

 

129,157

 

62,642

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted EPS before Chg. in Acctg. Principle and/or Other Items

 

$

0.43

 

$

0.37

 

$

0.21

 

$

(0.33

)

$

0.28

 

$

0.41

 

$

0.29

 

$

(0.68

)

$

0.35

 

$

(5.86

)

$

0.27

 

$

(0.37

)

Cum. Effect of Change in Accounting Principle and/or Other Item

 

0.73

 

 

 

(0.46

)

 

(0.14

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted EPS

 

$

1.16

 

$

0.37

 

$

0.21

 

$

(0.79

)

$

0.28

 

$

0.27

 

$

0.29

 

$

(0.68

)

$

0.35

 

$

(5.86

)

$

0.27

 

$

0.37

 

Average Diluted Shares

 

17,433

 

17,808

 

18,226

 

294,533

 

300,790

 

348,894

 

108,299

 

108,220

 

108,061

 

39,916

 

40,465

 

39,997

 

% of Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral Revenues

 

77.4

%

76.7

%

74.8

%

72.4

%

74.5

%

69.1

%

59.4

%

57.2

%

54.9

%

68.9

%

67.7

%

66.4

%

Cemetery Revenues

 

22.6

%

23.3

%

25.2

%

27.6

%

25.5

%

30.9

%

40.6

%

42.8

%

45.1

%

31.1

%

32.3

%

33.6

%

Total Revenues

 

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

Funeral Gross Profit

 

28.8

%

25.5

%

25.7

%

16.9

%

16.2

%

18.6

%

25.5

%

23.7

%

29.2

%

22.9

%

23.1

%

21.2

%

Cemetery Gross Profit

 

25.0

%

25.1

%

23.3

%

12.2

%

13.9

%

16.3

%

24.0

%

22.2

%

24.6

%

8.8

%

12.7

%

10.4

%

Total Gross Profit

 

27.9

%

25.4

%

25.1

%

15.6

%

15.6

%

17.9

%

24.9

%

23.1

%

27.1

%

18.5

%

19.8

%

17.6

%

G&A Expenses

 

7.0

%

7.0

%

6.9

%

3.9

%

7.6

%

7.1

%

3.0

%

3.9

%

3.3

%

6.1

%

7.6

%

6.5

%

EBITDA (Excluding Special Charges & Other Items) (4)

 

27.7

%

25.8

%

26.0

%

19.9

%

19.2

%

21.7

%

32.0

%

30.4

%

34.1

%

18.8

%

17.1

%

16.7

%

Operating Income

 

20.7

%

18.8

%

16.9

%

0.0

%

9.8

%

13.7

%

18.8

%

-1.4

%

23.0

%

-20.0

%

11.5

%

10.9

%

Net Income (Loss) before Chg. in Acctg. Principle and/or Other Items

 

4.9

%

4.4

%

3.2

%

-4.2

%

3.6

%

9.5

%

5.5

%

-14.1

%

9.6

%

-33.1

%

1.5

%

-2.7

%

Net Income (Loss)

 

13.2

%

4.4

%

3.2

%

-10.0

%

3.6

%

6.2

%

5.5

%

-14.1

%

9.6

%

-33.1

%

1.5

%

-2.7

%

Selected Operating Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

# of Funeral Properties

 

144

 

139

 

137

 

2,393

 

1,239

 

1,244

 

307

 

299

 

259

 

802

 

730

 

683

 

# of Cemetery & Other Properties

 

30

 

30

 

30

 

640

 

547

 

412

 

150

 

148

 

148

 

247

 

210

 

171

 

Total Properties

 

174

 

169

 

167

 

3,033

 

1,786

 

1,656

 

457

 

447

 

407

 

1,049

 

940

 

854

 

# of North American Funeral Services Performed (5)

 

24,293

 

23,740

 

17,499

 

268,326

 

263,952

 

192,011

 

96,211

 

71,934

 

NA

 

126,686

 

127,964

 

91,274

 

Avg.Rev. Per Funeral - North America (5)

 

$

4,713

 

$

4,743

 

$

4,886

 

$

4,054

 

$

4,140

 

$

4,249

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

$

3,843

 

$

3,920

 

$

4,019

 

North America Company Cremation Rate (6)

 

28

%

31

%

31

%

38

%

39

%

40

%

39

%

39

%

37

%

33

%

34

%

35

%

Selected Balance Sheet Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash & Cash Equivalents

 

2,702

 

2,024

 

2,296

 

200,625

 

239,431

 

318,045

 

30,778

 

20,931

 

17,368

 

46,112

 

41,612

 

10,223

 

Total Current Assets

 

26,865

 

27,890

 

26,478

 

618,924

 

667,223

 

701,175

 

172,400

 

216,282

 

151,230

 

685,564

 

583,654

 

217,130

 

Property, Plant & Equipment, Net

 

114,002

 

110,964

 

105,159

 

1,188,340

 

1,277,583

 

969,849

 

334,316

 

481,861

 

298,563

 

555,091

 

548,482

 

536,668

 

Cemetery Property

 

64,570

 

64,124

 

63,374

 

1,567,584

 

1,524,847

 

1,534,642

 

388,065

 

377,118

 

372,991

 

122,736

 

117,414

 

117,040

 

Goodwill

 

161,095

 

159,672

 

157,139

 

1,184,178

 

1,195,422

 

1,167,092

 

491,323

 

403,790

 

402,910

 

320,981

 

320,500

 

321,158

 

Total Assets

 

549,948

 

538,917

 

560,369

 

10,718,038

 

7,725,204

 

8,308,168

 

3,015,584

 

2,573,522

 

2,562,142

 

3,200,766

 

2,453,003

 

2,371,605

 

Total Current Liabilities

 

28,463

 

47,311

 

24,273

 

464,283

 

661,755

 

445,286

 

80,522

 

108,589

 

143,208

 

601,597

 

477,538

 

213,220

 

Senior Debt

 

149,094

 

135,479

 

116,333

 

1,984,838

 

1,701,871

 

1,294,896

 

551,944

 

502,115

 

437,366

 

755,581

 

630,852

 

490,151

 

Subordinated Debt

 

 

 

93,750

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Debt

 

149,094

 

135,479

 

210,083

 

1,984,838

 

1,701,871

 

1,294,896

 

551,944

 

502,115

 

437,366

 

755,581

 

630,852

 

490,151

 

Total Liabilities

 

361,264

 

342,660

 

417,940

 

9,391,383

 

6,198,246

 

6,431,375

 

2,203,321

 

1,834,663

 

1,583,036

 

2,677,364

 

1,908,110

 

1,589,754

 

Preferred Securities

 

90,193

 

90,327

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Convertible Securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stockholders’ Equity

 

98,091

 

105,930

 

110,618

 

1,326,655

 

1,526,958

 

1,876,793

 

812,263

 

738,859

 

774,716

 

523,402

 

544,893

 

527,345

 

Total Liabilities & Stockholders’ Equity

 

549,948

 

538,917

 

560,369

 

10,718,038

 

7,725,204

 

8,308,168

 

3,015,584

 

2,573,522

 

2,562,142

 

3,200,766

 

2,453,003

 

2,371,605

 

Selected Leverage Ratios

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Assets / Current Liabilities

 

0.94

 

0.59

 

1.09

 

1.33

 

1.01

 

1.57

 

2.14

 

1.99

 

1.06

 

1.14

 

1.22

 

1.02

 

Total Assets / Total Liabilities

 

1.52

 

1.57

 

1.34

 

1.14

 

1.25

 

1.29

 

1.37

 

1.40

 

1.62

 

1.20

 

1.29

 

1.49

 

Senior Debt / Total Assets

 

0.27

 

0.25

 

0.21

 

0.19

 

0.22

 

0.16

 

0.18

 

0.20

 

0.17

 

0.24

 

0.26

 

0.21

 

Senior Debt / Stockholders’ Equity

 

1.52

 

1.28

 

1.05

 

1.50

 

1.11

 

0.69

 

0.68

 

0.68

 

0.56

 

1.44

 

1.16

 

0.93

 

Senior Debt / EBITDA (Excluding Special Charges & Other Items)

 

3.49

 

3.49

 

3.87

 

4.29

 

3.78

 

4.19

 

2.96

 

3.16

 

3.31

 

5.70

 

4.98

 

5.32

 

Senior Debt / Capitalization

 

44.2

%

40.8

%

36.3

%

59.9

%

52.7

%

40.8

%

40.5

%

40.5

%

36.1

%

59.1

%

53.7

%

48.2

%

Selected Valuation Data

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Price @ December 1, 2004

 

 

 

 

 

$

5.04

 

 

 

 

 

$

7.26

 

 

 

 

 

$

7.49

 

 

 

 

 

$

10.57

 

Shares Outstanding (Per Most Recent 10K or 10Q Filing)

 

 

 

 

 

17,906

 

 

 

 

 

330,339

 

 

 

 

 

107,846

 

 

 

 

 

40,014

 

Equity Market Value

 

 

 

 

 

90,248

 

 

 

 

 

2,398,261

 

 

 

 

 

807,770

 

 

 

 

 

422,947

 

Preferred Securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Convertible Securities & Deferred Interest

 

 

 

 

 

9,092

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Debt

 

 

 

 

 

210,083

 

 

 

 

 

1,294,896

 

 

 

 

 

437,366

 

 

 

 

 

490,151

 

Cash & Cash Equivalents

 

 

 

 

 

2,296

 

 

 

 

 

318,045

 

 

 

 

 

17,368

 

 

 

 

 

10,223

 

Enterprise Value

 

 

 

 

 

$

307,127

 

 

 

 

 

$

3,375,112

 

 

 

 

 

$

1,227,768

 

 

 

 

 

$

902,875

 

Price / 2003 EPS before Chg. in Acctg. Principle and/or Other Items

 

 

 

 

 

13.5

 

 

 

 

 

25.7

 

 

 

 

 

(11.0

)

 

 

 

 

39.6

 

Price / 2003 EPS

 

 

 

 

 

13.5

 

 

 

 

 

25.7

 

 

 

 

 

(11.0

)

 

 

 

 

39.6

 

Price / Book Value Per Share

 

 

 

 

 

0.8

 

 

 

 

 

1.3

 

 

 

 

 

1.0

 

 

 

 

 

0.8

 

Enterprise Value / 2003 EBITDA (Excluding Special Charges & Other Items)

 

 

 

 

 

7.9

 

 

 

 

 

7.5

 

 

 

 

 

7.7

 

 

 

 

 

7.1

 

 


(1)          Fiscal year ending October 31.

(2)          9 Mos ‘04 data for period ending 7/31/04.

(3)          Cemetery Revenues/Gross Profit & Other for Alderwoods includes revenue/gross profit from Insurance operations.

(4)          EBITDA from continuing operations for Alderwoods Group

(5)          On a comparable or “same store” basis for Carriage Services and Service Corp. Data from continuing operations for Alderwoods Group. Stewarts’ Annual number of funeral services performed on a consolidated basis.

(6)          All cremation rate data for Carriage and Service Corp. on a same store basis. For Alderwoods, cremation data is from continuing operations. For Stewart, cremation data for 2002 and 2003 is from operations to be retained. For nine months of 2004, on a same store basis from continuing operations.

 

Source: Carriage Services, Service Corp. Intl., Stewart Enterprises, & Alderwoods Group public documents.

 

27



 

MANAGEMENT BIOS

 

Melvin C. Payne, a management founder of Carriage, has been Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer since December 1996.  In 2003, Mr. Payne assumed the additional role of leading Carriage’s funeral operations. Prior to December 1996, he had been the President, Chief Executive Officer and a director of Carriage since its inception in 1991.  Mr. Payne resumed the additional position of President in December 2000.  Mr. Payne serves on the Board of Directors of Sovereign Business Forms, Inc., a private company in the business forms manufacturing industry.

 

Joseph Saporito has been Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary of Carriage since September 2002.  Mr. Saporito, a certified public accountant, has responsibility for the financial and administrative functions of Carriage.  Prior to joining Carriage, he served as Division Head of the Commercial Audit Division of the Houston office of Arthur Andersen LLP, where he was a partner for 15 years.

 

James J. Benard has been Senior Vice President of Sales and Cemetery Operations for Carriage since November 2001.  Mr. Benard joined Carriage in 1998 as a Regional Vice President of Sales.  He has over 22 years of professional funeral home and cemetery experience.  Prior to joining Carriage, he was affiliated with Service Corporation International in various roles for ten years.  Mr. Benard is a member of the International Cemetery and Funeral Association.

 

George Klug has been Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer since May 2002. He joined Carriage in July 2001 to align the technology functions with the company’s business plan.  Before joining Carriage, Mr. Klug served from 1997 to 2000 as Vice President of Information Technology at Allright Corporation, an owner operator of parking facilities both national and international.  Prior to Allright, Mr. Klug served as Vice President of Information Technology for various retail companies including Oshmans, Sportstown, and Zaks. He also has a background in operations and accounting and has been in management positions for 30 years.

 

BOARD OF DIRECTORS & CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

 

Carriage’s Board of Directors consists of six members, of which four are independent. This board composition complies with Board provisions under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.

 

Melvin C. Payne, a management founder of Carriage, has been Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer since December 1996.  In 2003, Mr. Payne assumed the additional role of leading Carriage’s funeral operations. Prior to December 1996, he had been the President, Chief Executive Officer and a director of Carriage since its inception in 1991.  Mr. Payne resumed the additional position of President in December 2000.  Mr. Payne serves on the Board of Directors of Sovereign Business Forms, Inc., a private company in the business forms manufacturing industry.

 

Joe R. Davis became a director of Carriage Services in May 2003. He has been the Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Consolidated Graphics Inc. (“CGX”) since he founded it in 1985.  Mr. Davis serves on the Executive Committee of CGX’s Board of Directors.

 

Vincent D. Foster became a director of Carriage in November 1999.  Mr. Foster is a Senior Managing Director of Main Street Mezzanine Fund, LLC, a licensed small business investment corporation, and served as Senior Managing Director of Main Street Equity Ventures II, L.P. (and its predecessor firm), a private equity firm, from 1997 through 2002. Mr. Foster is a director of Quanta Services, Inc., and served as its nonexecutive Chairman of the Board of Directors from February 1998 through May 2002.  Mr. Foster is also a director of U.S. Concrete, Inc. and serves as its nonexecutive Chairman of the Board.  From September 1988 through October 1997, Mr. Foster was a partner of Andersen Worldwide and Arthur Andersen LLP, where he served as the director of the corporate finance practice and the mergers and acquisitions practice in the southwestern United States.

 

Mark F. Wilson became a director in January 1997 when CNM merged with Carriage.  Mr. Wilson served as the President of CNM from 1988 until its merger with Carriage in January 1997, when he became President of Carriage’s California operations.  CNM owned and operated nine Wilson & Kratzer Funeral Homes and the Rolling Hills Memorial

 

28



 

Park Cemetery in Alameda and Contra Costa Counties, California.  In connection with the CNM merger, Carriage agreed to increase the Board of Directors by one member and appoint Mr. Wilson as a director.  Mr. Wilson served as Senior Vice President of Cemetery Operations for our Western Region from November 2000 until November 2001, at which time he stepped aside upon the elevation of Jim Benard to head up the Company’s Cemetery Operations, but Mr. Wilson maintained his role as President of our California operations.  Mr. Wilson also serves on the Board of Directors of Mechanics Bank, Richmond, California.

 

Stuart W. Stedman has been a director of Carriage since it went public in August 1996.  For the past 18 years, Mr. Stedman has been President of Wesley West Interests, Inc., a management company responsible for various family holdings, including marketable securities, oil, gas and coal properties, ranch lands and urban real estate.  Mr. Stedman also serves as a Manager and a member of the compensation committee of Strand Energy, L.L.C., a private exploration and production company.

 

Ronald A. Erickson has been a director of Carriage since it went public in August 1996.  Mr. Erickson is Chief Executive Officer of Holiday Companies, Minneapolis, Minnesota, a family business consisting primarily of convenience stores and sporting goods stores.  Mr. Erickson is also a director (and member of the board’s compensation committee) of Andersen Corporation, a privately held manufacturer of windows and patio doors.

 

Audit Committee – Is comprised of Erickson, Foster, and Stedman, all independent board members.

The Audit Committee appoints Carriage’s independent auditors, reviews the plan, scope and results of the audit with the auditors and Carriage’s officers, and approves audit fees and non-audit services. The Audit Committee also reviews with the auditors the significant accounting policies and internal accounting controls of Carriage.

 

In 2003, Carriage’s Board adopted a new written charter to be the governing instrument for the Audit Committee. In 2004, the charter was amended. The NYSE, upon which Carriage’s Common Stock is traded, requires that each of its listed companies maintain an independent audit committee. None of the members of Carriage’s Audit Committee has a relationship with Carriage that may interfere with the exercise of his independence from management or Carriage. No member of the Company’s Audit Committee is or has been in the last three years an employee of Carriage or in a business relationship with Carriage. Also, no immediate family member related to a member of Carriage’s Audit Committee is an executive officer of Carriage or any of its affiliates.

 

In addition to the independence standard, the NYSE requires that each member of the Audit Committee be financially literate and at least one member must have accounting or related financial management expertise. Each member of Carriage’s Audit Committee is financially literate. Mr. Foster, the Committee’s financial expert, is a certified public accountant with over 20 years of public accounting experience. Currently, Mr. Foster is a managing director of a small business investment corporation for which he reviews and analyzes financial statements as part of his daily functions.

 

Corporate Governance Committee Is comprised of Erickson, Foster, and Stedman, all independent board members.

The Corporate Governance Committee reviews the structure of the full Board, evaluates the Board’s performance and makes recommendations regarding the size of the Board and the number and classification of directors. The Corporate Governance Committee also conducts a search for suitable and qualified candidates to serve as directors when the terms of office are up for election at each year’s annual meeting of stockholders and submits the names of candidates for such positions for consideration by the Board.

 

Compensation Committee – Is comprised of Foster, Stedman and Davis, all of whom are independent board members.

The Compensation Committee reviews and approves the compensation of Carriage’s senior officers, including stock and other incentive compensation programs. The Compensation Committee also administers, and makes grants of stock options, under Carriage’s stock incentive plans.

 

29



 

Carriage Services, Inc.

Consolidated Statement of Operations

(In Thousands, Except Per Share Data)

 

 

 

(Unaudited)
For the Three Months
Ended September 30,

 

(Unaudited)
For the Nine Months
Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2003

 

2004

 

2003

 

2004

 

Revenues, Net

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral

 

$

26,267

 

$

26,582

 

$

83,430

 

$

85,055

 

Cemetery

 

8,818

 

9,385

 

26,335

 

29,087

 

 

 

35,085

 

35,967

 

109,765

 

114,142

 

Costs & Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral

 

20,293

 

20,481

 

62,096

 

63,113

 

Cemetery

 

6,800

 

7,354

 

19,437

 

22,304

 

 

 

27,093

 

27,835

 

81,533

 

85,417

 

Gross Profit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funeral

 

5,974

 

6,101

 

21,334

 

21,942

 

Cemetery

 

2,018

 

2,031

 

6,898

 

6,783

 

Gross Profit

 

7,992

 

8,132

 

28,232

 

28,725

 

Gross Profit Margin

 

22.8

%

22.6

%

25.7

%

25.2

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General & Admin. Expenses

 

2,544

 

2,748

 

7,488

 

7,976

 

Operating Income

 

5,448

 

5,384

 

20,744

 

20,749

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Expense

 

4,348

 

4,178

 

13,358

 

12,959

 

Other (Income) Expense

 

33

 

423

 

(35

)

(468

)

Total Interest & Other (Income) Expense

 

4,381

 

4,601

 

13,323

 

12,491

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income from Continuing Operations Before Income Taxes

 

1,067

 

783

 

7,421

 

8,258

 

Provision for Income Taxes

 

400

 

294

 

2,783

 

3,096

 

Net Income from Continuing Operations

 

667

 

489

 

4,638

 

5,162

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating Income from Discontinued Operations

 

27

 

29

 

396

 

289

 

Gain on Sales & (Impairments) of Discontinued Operations

 

259

 

1,039

 

499

 

(2,010

)

Income Tax Provision (Benefit)

 

107

 

400

 

335

 

(310

)

Income (Loss) from Discontinued Operations

 

179

 

668

 

560

 

(1,411

)

Net Income

 

$

846

 

$

1,157

 

$

5,198

 

$

3,751

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic Earnings (Loss) Per Common Share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Continuing Operations

 

$

0.04

 

$

0.03

 

$

0.27

 

$

0.29

 

Discontinued Operations

 

$

0.01

 

$

0.03

 

$

0.03

 

$

(0.08

)

Net Income

 

$

0.05

 

$

0.06

 

$

0.30

 

$

0.21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Common Share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Continuing Operations

 

$

0.04

 

$

0.03

 

$

0.26

 

$

0.28

 

Discontinued Operations

 

$

0.01

 

$

0.03

 

$

0.03

 

$

(0.07

)

Net Income

 

$

0.05

 

$

0.06

 

$

0.29

 

$

0.21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted Avg. Basic Shares Outstanding:

 

17,496

 

17,834

 

17,409

 

17,751

 

Weighted Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding:

 

17,832

 

18,281

 

17,752

 

18,226

 

 

30



 

Carriage Services, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(In Thousands)

 

 

 

December 31,
2003

 

(Unaudited)
September 30,
2004

 

ASSETS

 

 

 

 

 

Current Assets:

 

 

 

 

 

Cash & Cash Equivalents

 

$

2,024

 

$

2,296

 

Accounts Receivable —

 

 

 

 

 

Trade, Net of Allowance for Doubtful Accounts

 

15,564

 

12,198

 

Other

 

505

 

448

 

 

 

16,069

 

12,646

 

Inventories & Other Current Assets

 

9,797

 

11,536

 

Total Current Assets

 

27,890

 

26,478

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preneed Receivables & Trust Investments:

 

 

 

 

 

Cemetery

 

 

66,485

 

Funeral

 

 

50,021

 

Receivable from Funeral Trusts

 

73,706

 

18,825

 

Preneed Cemetery Merchandise & Service Trust Funds

 

48,237

 

 

Property, Plant & Equip. at Cost, Net of Accum. Dep.

 

110,964

 

105,159

 

Cemetery Property at Cost

 

64,124

 

63,374

 

Goodwill

 

159,672

 

157,139

 

Deferred Charges & Other Non-Current Assets

 

54,324

 

41,947

 

Cemetery Perpetual Care Trust Investments

 

 

30,941

 

Total Assets

 

$

538,917

 

$

560,369

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LIABILITIES & STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY

 

 

 

 

 

Current Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

Accounts Payable & Accrued Liabilities

 

$

22,911

 

$

20,667

 

Current Portion of Long-Term Debt & Capital Leases Obligations

 

24,400

 

3,606

 

Total Current Liabilities

 

47,311

 

24,273

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Senior Long-Term Debt, Net of Current Portion

 

105,575

 

107,274

 

Convertible Junior Sub. Debentures due 2029 to an Affiliated Trust

 

 

93,750

 

Obligations Under Capital Leases, Net of Current Portion

 

5,504

 

5,453

 

Distributions Payable on Convertible Preferred Securities

 

3,876

 

 

Deferred Interest on Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures

 

 

9,092

 

Deferred Cemetery Revenue

 

99,108

 

48,033

 

Deferred Preneed Funeral Contracts Revenue

 

81,286

 

32,017

 

Non-Controlling Interests in Funeral & Cemetery Trust Investments

 

 

98,048

 

Total Liabilities

 

342,660

 

417,940

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commitments & Contingencies:

 

 

 

 

 

Non-Controlling Interests in Perpetual Care Trust Investments

 

 

31,811

 

Company-Obligated Mandatorily Redeemable Convt. Pref Securities

 

90,327

 

 

Stockholders’ Equity:

 

 

 

 

 

Common Stock

 

175

 

178

 

Contributed Capital

 

186,679

 

187,768

 

Accumulated Deficit

 

(80,290

)

(76,539

)

Deferred Compensation

 

(634

)

(789

)

Total Stockholders’ Equity

 

105,930

 

110,618

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Liabilities & Stockholders’ Equity

 

$

538,917

 

$

560,369

 

 

31



 

Carriage Services, Inc.

Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows

(In Thousands)

 

 

 

(Unaudited)
For the Nine Months
Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2003

 

2004

 

Cash Flows from Operating Activities:

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income from Continuing Operations

 

$

4,638

 

$

5,162

 

Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income from Continuing Operations to Net Cash Provided By Operating Activities:

 

 

 

 

 

Depreciation

 

5,006

 

5,290

 

Amortization

 

3,159

 

3,701

 

Provision for Losses on Accounts Receivable

 

1,056

 

1,820

 

Net Gain on Sale of Business Assets

 

(614

)

(963

)

Stock Related Compensation

 

245

 

374

 

Loss on Sale of Trust Investments

 

 

235

 

Deferred Income Taxes

 

2,782

 

3,095

 

Other

 

3

 

502

 

Changes in Assets & Liabilities, Net of Effect from Acquisitions & Dispositions:

 

 

 

 

 

Decrease (Increase) in Accounts Receivable

 

1,043

 

(891

)

Decrease (Increase) in Inventories & Other Current Assets

 

21

 

(753

)

(Increase) in Deferred Charges & Other

 

(498

)

(133

)

(Increase) in Preened Funeral & Cemetery Costs

 

(2,733

)

(3,872

)

(Increase) in Preneed Trust Investments

 

(3,402

)

(1,040

)

(Decrease) in Accounts Payable & Accrued Liabilities

 

(3,759

)

(2,685

)

Increase in Deferred Preneed Revenue

 

1,382

 

1,462

 

Increase in Deferred Interest on Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures

 

1,650

 

5,216

 

Net Cash Provided by Continuing Operating Activities

 

9,979

 

16,520

 

Net Cash Provided by Discontinued Operating Activities

 

278

 

653

 

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

 

10,257

 

17,173

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash Flows from Investing Activities:

 

 

 

 

 

Net Proceeds from Sales of Businesses & Other Assets

 

1,083

 

3,760

 

Cost Adjustments Related to Acquisitions

 

1,500

 

 

Capital Expenditures

 

(5,012

)

(3,448

)

Net Cash (Used In) Provided By Continuing Investing Activities

 

(2,429

)

312

 

Net Cash Provided By (Used In) Discontinued Investing Activities

 

1,045

 

(62

)

Net Cash (Used In) Provided By Investing Activities

 

(1,384

)

250

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash Flows from Financing Activities:

 

 

 

 

 

Proceeds (Payments) Under Bank Line of Credit

 

(2,500

)

7,500

 

Payments on Long-Term Debt & Obligations Under Capital Leases

 

(6,566

)

(24,897

)

Proceeds from Issuance of Common Stock

 

461

 

466

 

Payment of Deferred Debt Charges & Other

 

(618

)

 

Net Cash Used In Continuing Financing Activities

 

(9,223

)

(16,931

)

Net Cash Used In Discontinued Financing Activities

 

(161

)

(220

)

Net Cash Used In Financing Activities

 

(9,384

)

(17,151

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (Decrease) Increase in Cash & Cash Equivalents

 

(511

)

272

 

Cash & Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Year

 

2,702

 

2,024

 

Cash & Cash Equivalents at End of Year

 

$

2,191

 

$

2,296

 

 

32



 

Selected Financial Data

 

The following table provides a summary of revenues for the businesses included in continuing operation and the businesses to be sold for the periods ended (in millions):

 

Revenue

 

Year Ended
December 31,
2002

 

Three Months
Ended
March 31,
2003

 

Three Months
Ended
June 30,
2003

 

Three Months
Ended
September 30,
2003

 

Three Months
Ended
December 31,
2003

 

Three Months
Ended
March 31,
2004

 

Three Months
Ended
June 30,
2004

 

Three Months
Ended
September 30,
2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Continuing operations

 

$

150,464

 

$

37,780

 

$

37,136

 

$

35,179

 

$

38,071

 

$

40,661

 

$

37,681

 

$

26,582

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Businesses to be sold

 

3,712

 

926

 

731

 

522

 

478

 

512

 

530

 

265

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

154,176

 

$

38,706

 

$

37,867

 

$

35,701

 

$

38,549

 

$

41,173

 

$

38,211

 

$

26,847

 

 

The following table provides a summary of gross profit for the businesses included in continuing operations and the businesses to be sold for the periods ended (in millions):

 

Gross Profit

 

Year Ended
December 31,
2002

 

Three Months
Ended
March 31,
2003

 

Three Months
Ended
June 30,
2003

 

Three Months
Ended
September 30,
2003

 

Three Months
Ended
December 31,
2003

 

Three Months
Ended
March 31,
2004

 

Three Months
Ended
June 30,
2004

 

Three Months
Ended
September 30,
2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Continuing operations

 

$

42,234

 

$

10,782

 

$

9,059

 

$

8,003

 

$

9,651

 

$

11,849

 

$

8,764

 

$

6,101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Businesses to be sold

 

854

 

239

 

94

 

21

 

26

 

105

 

142

 

26

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

43,088

 

$

11,021

 

$

9,153

 

$

8,024

 

$

9,677

 

$

11,954

 

$

8,906

 

$

6,127

 

 

33



 

Forward-Looking Statements

 

In addition to historical information, this Company & Investment Profile contains forward-looking statements within the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include any projections of earnings, revenues, asset sales, cash flow, debt levels or other financial items; any statements of the plans, strategies and objectives of management for future operation; any statements regarding future economic conditions or performance; any statements of belief; and any statements of assumptions underlying any of the foregoing. Forward-looking statements may include the words “may”, “will”, “estimate”, “intend”, “believe”, “expect”, “project”, “forecast”, “plan”, “anticipate” and other similar words. Readers should carefully review the Cautionary Statements described in this and other documents we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including Annual Reports on Form 10-K and Current Reports on Form 8-K filed by Carriage in the future.

 

Cautionary Statements
 

The Company cautions readers that the following important factors, among others, in some cases have affected, and in the future could affect, the Company’s actual consolidated results and could cause the Company’s actual consolidated results in the future to differ materially from the goals and expectations expressed herein and in any other forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Company.

 

Risks related to our business

 

(1)  Earnings from and principal of trust funds and insurance contracts could be reduced by changes in stock and bond prices and interest and dividend rates.

 

(2)  Increased costs may have a negative impact on earnings and cash flows.

 

(3)  Our ability to achieve our debt reduction targets and to service our debt in the future depends upon our ability to generate sufficient cash, which depends on many factors, some of which are beyond our control.

 

(4)  We may experience declines in preneed sales due to numerous factors including changes made to contract terms and sales force compensation, or a weakening economy. Declines in preneed sales would reduce our backlog and revenue and could reduce our future market share.

 

(5)  Increased preneed sales may have a negative impact on cash flow.

 

(6)  Price competition could reduce market share or cause us to reduce prices to retain or recapture market share, either of which could reduce revenues and margins.

 

(7)  Increased advertising or better marketing by competitors, or increased activity by competitors offering products or services over the Internet, could cause us to lose market share and revenues or cause us to incur increased costs in order to retain or recapture our market share.

 

(8)  Increases in interest rates would increase interest costs on our variable-rate long-term debt and could have a material adverse effect on our net income and earnings per share.

 

(9)  Covenant restrictions under our revolving credit facility and senior notes limit our flexibility in operating our business.

 

(10) Our projections include adjustments to earnings and cash flow for estimated disposition activity. Several important factors, among others, may affect our ability to consummate dispositions.

 

34



 

Risks related to the death care industry

 

(1)  Declines in the number of deaths in our markets can cause a decrease in revenues. Changes in the number of deaths are not predictable from market to market or over the short term.

 

(2)  The increasing number of cremations in the United States could cause revenues to decline because we could lose market share to firms specializing in cremations. In addition, basic cremations produce no revenues for cemetery operations and lesser funeral revenues and, in certain cases, lesser profit margins than traditional funerals.

 

(3)  If we are not able to respond effectively to changing consumer preferences, our market share, revenues and profitability could decrease.

 

(4)  Because the funeral and cemetery businesses are high fixed-cost businesses, positive or negative changes in revenue can have a disproportionately large effect on cash flow and profits.

 

(5)  Changes or increases in, or failure to comply with, regulations applicable to our business could increase costs or decrease cash flows.

 

Readers should carefully review the Cautionary Statements described in this and other documents we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including Annual Reports on Form 10-K and Current Reports on Form 8-K filed by Carriage in the future.

 

Disclosure of Non-GAAP Performance Measures

 

We report our financial results in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). However, management believes that certain non-GAAP performance measures and ratios, which management uses in managing our business, may provide users of this financial information additional meaningful comparisons between results in historical periods. Non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed in addition to, and not as an alternative for, our reported operating results or cash flow from operations or any other measure of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. In addition, our presentation of non-GAAP performance measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures other companies report.

 

We define free cash flow as cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures for property, plant and equipment. We consider free cash flow to be an important indicator of our ability to pay down our debt while we are in loss carryforward position for tax purposes.

 

Reconciliations of cash provided by operations to free cash flow are provided in the following table (in 000s):

 

 

 

2000

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

Nine months
ended
September 30,
2004

 

Cash provided by operations

 

$

16,926

 

$

27,749

 

$

18,945

 

$

14,680

 

$

17,173

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital expenditures

 

(10,547

)

(5,046

)

(6,034

)

(6,204

)

(3,348

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Free cash flow

 

$

6,379

 

$

15,703

 

$

12,911

 

$

8,476

 

$

13,825

 

 

We define EBITDA Excluding Gains on Sales of Assets and Impairment Charges as our pre-tax earnings (loss) plus interest expense, depreciation and amortization expenses. (Gains on sales of assets and impairment charges had been presented within Special Charges and Other Items in our Consolidated Statement of Earnings.  As of June 30, 2004, the gains on sales of assets and impairment charges are presented within “Other (Income) Expense” or “Net Gain (Loss) on Discontinued Operations”.)  We have included EBITDA Excluding Gains on Sales of Assets and Impairment Charges because it is widely used by analysts and investors for valuation purposes and because we use EBITDA Excluding Gains

 

35



 

on Sales of Assets and Impairment Charges to monitor and compare the financial performance of our businesses. EBITDA Excluding Gains on Sales of Assets and Impairment Charges does not give effect to the cash we must use to service our debt, pay our income taxes or provide for capital expenditures. We have provided the ratio of our debt to EBITDA Excluding Gains on Sales of Assets and Impairment Charges because the financial institutions that provide our debt monitor our reliance on debt by periodically measuring this ratio. Reconciliations of Net earnings (loss) to EBITDA Excluding Gains on Sales of Assets and Impairment Charges are provided in the following table (in 000s):

 

 

 

2000

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

Nine months
ended
September 30,
2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earnings (loss)

 

$

(131,996

)

$

9,002

 

$

20,278

 

$

6,625

 

$

3,751

 

Other expense (income)

 

102,250

 

 

361

 

(577

)

(942

)

Cumulative effect of the change in accounting principle

 

59,748

 

 

 

 

 

Impairment Charges

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,240

 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

 

(28,787

)

2,251

 

(8,116

)

3,974

 

2,786

 

Pre-tax earnings

 

1,215

 

11,253

 

12,523

 

10,022

 

7,835

 

Interest expense

 

20,705

 

20,344

 

19,750

 

17,811

 

12,963

 

Depreciation & amortization

 

18,675

 

17,095

 

10,503

 

11,022

 

9,046

 

EBITDA excluding gains on sales of assets and impairment charges

 

$

40,595

 

$

48,692

 

$

42,776

 

$

38,855

 

$

29,844

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt outstanding at end of period

 

$

187,507

 

$

157,122

 

$

149,094

 

$

135,479

 

$

116,334

 

Debt to EBITDA excluding special charges and other items multiple at period end

 

4.47

 

3.23

 

3.49

 

3.49

 

3.06

*

 


* EBITDA = rolling 12 months

 

We define Capitalization as the sum of the carrying values (GAAP) of our debt, preferred securities and stockholders’ equity. We have included Capitalization and the ratio of our total debt to capitalization because we measure our reliance on debt by monitoring the debt to capitalization ratio.

 

We define Enterprise Value as the sum of the carrying values (GAAP) of our debt and preferred securities and the estimated market value of our common stock. We have included Enterprise Value and the ratio of Enterprise Value to EBITDA because it is widely used by analysts and investors to measure the total capital capacity of companies for valuation purposes. Enterprise Value is not representative of the market or fair value of the Company’s debt and equity. It differs with Capitalization by the difference between the market value of the Company’s common stock and the total of the Company’s stockholders’ equity.

 

In cases where we have presented historical earnings (loss), certain of those periods have been adjusted to exclude gains on sales of assets and impairment charges. Management monitors and compares the operating results on this basis so that these particular items do not affect the comparability of its operating results. Analysts and investors find this to be a meaningful presentation to compare the operating results of our core operations. The adjusted results do not represent a better indicator of earnings (loss). Reconciliations of Net earnings (loss) in accordance with GAAP to Net earnings before exclude gains on sales of assets and impairment charges are as follows (in 000s):

 

36



 

 

 

2000

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

Nine months
ended
September 30,
2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net earnings (loss)

 

$

(131,996

)

$

9,002

 

$

20,278

 

$

6,625

 

$

3,751

 

(Gain) loss on sale of assets, net of tax benefit of $35,787 (2000), $139 (2002), tax expense of $433 (2003) and $751 (2004)

 

66,463

 

 

222

 

(723

)

(1,251

)

Impairment charges net of tax benefit of $810

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,240

 

Early termination of lease obligation and bank credit facility, net of tax benefit of $151 (1999) and $218 (2003)

 

 

 

 

361

 

 

Fresh Start restructuring charges, net of tax benefit of $20,755

 

38,993

 

 

 

 

 

Abandonment of software, net of tax benefit of $186

 

 

 

 

 

309

 

Recognition of deferred tax valuation allowances

 

 

 

(12,800

)

 

 

Net earnings, before gains on sales of assets and impairment charges

 

$

(26,541

)

$

9,002

 

$

7,700

 

$

6,263

 

$

5,049

 

 

37